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06.12.2026 19:45
Orange Vélodrome

Marseille vs Nice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nice Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.41
Nice1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
W W L W L
11 GF / 7 GA
Nice Nice
W W L W W
12 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
8
4.25
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 16 matches
Nice Nice 14 matches
Marseille Statistic Nice
7 Wins 6
0 Draws 4
9 Losses 4
27 Goals For 20
26 Goals Against 14
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 6
4.25 Shots On Goal 4
12.92 Total Shots 12
4.58 Corners 5.67
56% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 5 times, Nice won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Marseille's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Nice 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 5, draws 3, Nice wins 6

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 21:10 11 20
W W W W W
2 9 5 3 1 12:6 6 18
W D D W L
3 9 5 2 2 15:7 8 17
W L W L W
4 9 5 2 2 16:10 6 17
W L W L W
5 9 5 1 3 20:19 1 16
L W L W L
6 9 5 0 4 20:13 7 15
W W W W L
7 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
L D L D W
8
Nice Away
9 4 2 3 13:12 1 14
W W L W W
9 9 4 1 4 16:13 3 13
L W W W L
10 9 3 3 3 16:12 4 12
W L D W L
11 9 3 3 3 7:8 -1 12
L D W W L
12 9 2 4 3 12:13 -1 10
L D W D W
13 9 3 1 5 17:19 -2 10
W L L L L
14 9 3 1 5 13:23 -10 10
L D W L W
15 9 2 2 5 9:17 -8 8
L D L L W
16 9 2 2 5 7:16 -9 8
W D L L L
17 9 1 4 4 11:18 -7 7
L D L L W
18 9 0 2 7 9:20 -11 2
L L L L L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation