FRANCE LIGUE 1
05.12.2026 16:00

Marseille vs Nice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nice Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.33
Nice1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
12 GF / 12 GA
Nice Nice
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
4
BTTS Yes
1
6
Over 2.5
3
5
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 7 matches
Nice Nice 8 matches
Marseille Statistic Nice
3 Wins 2
0 Draws 4
4 Losses 2
12 Goals For 8
12 Goals Against 6
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
4 BTTS Yes 1
7 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 5
5 Shots On Goal 2.33
13.67 Total Shots 12.33
5 Corners 6
63.7% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 5 times, Nice won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Marseille's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Nice 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 5, draws 3, Nice wins 6

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 5:1 4 9
W W W
2 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W W D
3 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W D W
4 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
W D W
5 3 2 1 0 7:5 2 7
W W D
6 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
W W L
7 3 1 2 0 6:5 1 5
W D D
8 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
W L D
9 3 1 1 1 4:7 -3 4
L W D
10 3 1 0 2 6:5 1 3
L L W
11 3 1 0 2 6:5 1 3
L L W
12 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
L W L
13 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
L D D
14 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
D L D
15
Nice Away
3 0 2 1 1:4 -3 2
D L D
16 3 0 1 2 2:4 -2 1
L D L
17 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
L D L
18 3 0 0 3 4:11 -7 0
L L L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation