25.11.2025 20:00
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: M. Mariani
Marseille
Match Timeline
Newcastle
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Leonardo Balerdi
Marseille
⚽
6'
H. Barnes
Newcastle
🟨
20'
Joe Willock
Newcastle
🟨
36'
Darryl Bakola
Marseille
🟨
42'
Anthony Gordon
Newcastle
⚽
46'
P. Aubameyang · Assist: D. Bakola
Marseille
⚽
50'
P. Aubameyang · Assist: T. Weah
Marseille
🟨
52'
Emerson Palmieri
Marseille
🔄
61'
V. Livramento ↔ L. Hall
Newcastle
🔄
61'
F. Schar ↔ A. Elanga
Newcastle
🔄
61'
J. Murphy ↔ L. Miley
Newcastle
🔄
62'
D. Bakola ↔ M. O'Riley
Marseille
🟨
65'
Dan Burn
Newcastle
🟨
67'
Mason Greenwood
Marseille
🔄
72'
A. Gordon ↔ N. Woltemade
Newcastle
🔄
72'
J. Willock ↔ J. Ramsey
Newcastle
🟨
83'
Arthur Vermeeren
Marseille
🔄
88'
M. Greenwood ↔ A. Gomes
Marseille
🔄
90+2'
P. Aubameyang ↔ R. Vaz
Marseille

Marseille vs Newcastle Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.8
Newcastle1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
39 GF / 17 GA
Newcastle Newcastle
WLDWL
23 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
8
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
10
5.65
Shots on Goal
4.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 17 matches
Newcastle Newcastle 16 matches
Marseille Statistic Newcastle
10 Wins 7
1 Draws 3
6 Losses 6
39 Goals For 23
17 Goals Against 17
2.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
8 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 3
5.65 Shots On Goal 4.44
13.76 Total Shots 11.88
4.76 Corners 5.63
57.1% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 1 times, Newcastle won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Marseille's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Newcastle 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 1, draws 0, Newcastle wins 0

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
3 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
W W W L W
4 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
W W W L W
5 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
W W W L D
6 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
W W L W D
7 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
W W L W D
8 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
W L W L W
9 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
L W L W L
10 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
W L L L W
11 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
D L D W L
12 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
D W D L W
13 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
D W W W D
14 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L D W W W
15 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L L W W W
16 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
W L D W W
17 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
L L D W L
18 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
W W W L D
19 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
W W L L D
20 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
L D L L W
21 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
D L W D W
22 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
L W L L D
23 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
W W D L L
24 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
W L W W L
25 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
L L W W L
26 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
W L L D W
27 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
W L L W L
28 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
L L L W D
29 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L W D D L
30 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L D L W D
31 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
L D W W L
32 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
L W W L L
33 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
L L L L D
34 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
L L L D L
35 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)