FRANCE › LIGUE 1
04.01.2026 14:00
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: M. Bollengier
Marseille
Match Timeline
Nantes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
10'
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley
Nantes
🟥
26'
Arthur Vermeeren
Marseille
⚽
31'
F. Centonze
Nantes
🔄
32'
I. Paixao ↔ B. Nadir
Marseille
🟨
33'
Junior Mwanga
Nantes
🔄
46'
F. Medina ↔ M. Murillo
Marseille
🔄
46'
F. Centonze ↔ S. Doucoure
Nantes
🟨
51'
Dehmaine Tabibou
Nantes
🟨
54'
Bilal Nadir
Marseille
🟨
56'
Bilal Nadir
Marseille
🟥
56'
Bilal Nadir
Marseille
🔄
58'
D. Tabibou ↔ R. Cabella
Nantes
🔄
58'
F. Coquelin ↔ L. Leroux
Nantes
🔄
61'
P. Aubameyang ↔ M. O'Riley
Marseille
🔄
63'
J. Mwanga ↔ J. Lepenant
Nantes
🔄
73'
C. Egan-Riley ↔ H. J. Traore
Marseille
🔄
73'
M. Greenwood ↔ A. Gouiri
Marseille
🔄
82'
Y. El Arabi ↔ B. Guirassy
Nantes
⚽
88'
R. Cabella
Nantes
🟨
90+4'
Bahereba Guirassy
Nantes

Marseille vs Nantes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nantes Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille2.11
Nantes1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
53 GF / 23 GA
Nantes Nantes
WLDWL
19 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
11
BTTS Yes
9
16
Over 2.5
8
5.74
Shots on Goal
2.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 23 matches
Nantes Nantes 17 matches
Marseille Statistic Nantes
14 Wins 3
2 Draws 5
7 Losses 9
53 Goals For 19
23 Goals Against 31
2.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
11 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 12
16 Over 2.5 8
9 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 7
5.74 Shots On Goal 2.82
14.04 Total Shots 9.65
5.3 Corners 2.94
58.7% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 8 times, Nantes won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Marseille's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 3-4-2-1 / Nantes 5-4-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 8, draws 3, Nantes wins 4

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
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