FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: M. Bollengier
Marseille
Match Timeline
Nantes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
10'
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley
Nantes
🟥
26'
Arthur Vermeeren
Marseille
31'
F. Centonze
Nantes
🔄
32'
I. Paixao ↔ B. Nadir
Marseille
🟨
33'
Junior Mwanga
Nantes
🔄
46'
F. Medina ↔ M. Murillo
Marseille
🔄
46'
F. Centonze ↔ S. Doucoure
Nantes
🟨
51'
Dehmaine Tabibou
Nantes
🟨
54'
Bilal Nadir
Marseille
🟨
56'
Bilal Nadir
Marseille
🟥
56'
Bilal Nadir
Marseille
🔄
58'
D. Tabibou ↔ R. Cabella
Nantes
🔄
58'
F. Coquelin ↔ L. Leroux
Nantes
🔄
61'
P. Aubameyang ↔ M. O'Riley
Marseille
🔄
63'
J. Mwanga ↔ J. Lepenant
Nantes
🔄
73'
C. Egan-Riley ↔ H. J. Traore
Marseille
🔄
73'
M. Greenwood ↔ A. Gouiri
Marseille
🔄
82'
Y. El Arabi ↔ B. Guirassy
Nantes
88'
R. Cabella
Nantes
🟨
90+4'
Bahereba Guirassy
Nantes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nantes Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille2.11
Nantes1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
53 GF / 23 GA
Nantes Nantes
WLDWL
19 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
11
BTTS Yes
9
16
Over 2.5
8
5.74
Shots on Goal
2.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 23 matches
Nantes Nantes 17 matches
Marseille Statistic Nantes
14 Wins 3
2 Draws 5
7 Losses 9
53 Goals For 19
23 Goals Against 31
2.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
11 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 12
16 Over 2.5 8
9 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 7
5.74 Shots On Goal 2.82
14.04 Total Shots 9.65
5.3 Corners 2.94
58.7% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 8 times, Nantes won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Marseille's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 3-4-2-1 / Nantes 5-4-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 8, draws 3, Nantes wins 4
Stats
Marseille Marseille
Nantes Nantes
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 3
17 Fouls 20
3 Offsides 4
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 9
4 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 12
5 Shots outsidebox 3
7 Goalkeeper Saves 4
466 Total passes 380
406 Passes accurate 325
0.75 expected_goals 3.63
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 2 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Marseille
Formation
Nantes
G. Rulli
G. Rulli
B. Pavard
B. Pavard
C. Egan-Riley
C. Egan-Riley
F. Medina
F. Medina
T. Weah
T. Weah
A. Vermeeren
A. Vermeeren
P. Hojbjerg
P. Hojbjerg
Emerson
Emerson
M. Greenwood
M. Greenwood
I. Paixao
I. Paixao
P. Aubameyang
P. Aubameyang
A. Lopes
A. Lopes
F. Centonze
F. Centonze
K. Amian
K. Amian
T. Tati
T. Tati
N. Cozza
N. Cozza
D. Machado
D. Machado
D. Tabibou
D. Tabibou
F. Coquelin
F. Coquelin
J. Mwanga
J. Mwanga
M. Abline
M. Abline
Y. El Arabi
Y. El Arabi
Marseille 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
G. Rulli
G
28
B. Pavard
D
4
C. Egan-Riley
↓ 73'
D
32
F. Medina
↓ 46'
D
22
T. Weah
M
18
A. Vermeeren
🟥 26'
M
23
P. Hojbjerg
M
33
Emerson
M
10
M. Greenwood
↓ 73'
F
14
I. Paixao
↓ 32'
F
97
P. Aubameyang
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
12
J. De Lange
G
62
M. Murillo
↑ 46'
D
50
D. Bakola
M
19
G. Kondogbia
M
26
B. Nadir
↑ 32' 🟨 54' 🟨 56' 🟥 56'
M
17
M. O'Riley
↑ 61'
M
20
H. J. Traore
↑ 73'
M
9
A. Gouiri
↑ 73'
F
34
R. Vaz
F
Nantes 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
A. Lopes
G
18
F. Centonze
⚽ 31' ↓ 46'
D
98
K. Amian
D
78
T. Tati
D
3
N. Cozza
D
27
D. Machado
D
17
D. Tabibou
↓ 58' 🟨 51'
M
13
F. Coquelin
↓ 58'
M
80
J. Mwanga
↓ 63' 🟨 33'
M
10
M. Abline
M
19
Y. El Arabi
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
30
P. Carlgren
G
72
S. Doucoure
↑ 46'
D
26
U. Radakovic
D
20
R. Cabella
⚽ 88' ↑ 58'
M
52
B. Deuff
M
8
J. Lepenant
↑ 63'
M
66
L. Leroux
↑ 58'
M
11
B. Guirassy
↑ 82' 🟨 90+4'
F
49
J. Kone
F
Last matches: Marseille
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
Last matches: Nantes
14.08.26
Lig
Nantes
Laval
1
2
L
08.08.26
Lig
Nantes
RED Star FC 93
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Al Wakrah
5
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Le Mans
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nantes
La Roche VF
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Lorient
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Fleury 91
5
0
W
08.05.26
Lig
Nantes
Lens
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Nantes
Marseille
3
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Rennes
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Auxerre
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Metz
0
0
D
22.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Strasbourg
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Angers
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Lille
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Le Havre
2
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Monaco
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Lyon
0
1
L
H2H: Marseille vs Nantes
02.05.26
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
3
0
L
04.01.26
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
02.03.25
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
0
W
03.11.24
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
1
2
W
10.03.24
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
0
W
01.09.23
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
1
1
D
01.02.23
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
0
2
W
20.08.22
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
1
W
20.04.22
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
3
2
W
01.12.21
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
0
1
W
20.02.21
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
1
1
D
28.11.20
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
3
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
1
3
L
17.08.19
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
0
0
D
28.04.19
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
1
2
L
Last matches: Marseille
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
14.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
25.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Newcastle
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
05.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Atalanta
0
1
L
H2H at home: Marseille
04.01.26
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
02.03.25
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
0
W
10.03.24
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
0
W
20.08.22
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
1
W
20.04.22
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
3
2
W
28.11.20
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
3
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
1
3
L
28.04.19
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
1
2
L
Last matches: Nantes
14.08.26
Lig
Nantes
Laval
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Le Mans
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Lorient
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Fleury 91
5
0
W
08.05.26
Lig
Nantes
Lens
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Rennes
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Auxerre
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Metz
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Lille
0
1
L
13.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Monaco
1
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Nantes
Lorient
1
2
L
21.12.25
Cou
Nantes
Concarneau
5
3
W
12.12.25
Lig
Nantes
Angers
1
4
L
30.11.25
Lig
Nantes
Lyon
0
3
L
08.11.25
Lig
Nantes
Le Havre
1
1
D
24.10.25
Lig
Nantes
Paris FC
2
1
W
04.10.25
Lig
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
0
0
D
27.09.25
Lig
Nantes
Toulouse
2
2
D
13.09.25
Lig
Nantes
Nice
0
1
L
H2H away: Nantes
04.01.26
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
W
02.03.25
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
0
L
10.03.24
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
0
L
20.08.22
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
1
L
20.04.22
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
3
2
L
28.11.20
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
3
1
L
22.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
1
3
W
28.04.19
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
1
2
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation