Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nantes Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille2
Nantes1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille
WWDLW
50 GF / 29 GA
Nantes
WLDWL
28 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
2.17
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
15
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Marseille
23 matches
Nantes
23 matches
| Marseille | Statistic | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 9 |
| 5 | Losses | 9 |
| 50 | Goals For | 28 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 2.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.74 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 8 times, Nantes won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Marseille's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Nantes 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 8, draws 3, Nantes wins 4
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
Last matches: Nantes
22.08.26
Lig
Nantes
Rodez
2
5
L
14.08.26
Lig
Nantes
Laval
1
2
L
08.08.26
Lig
Nantes
RED Star FC 93
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Al Wakrah
5
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Le Mans
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nantes
La Roche VF
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Lorient
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Fleury 91
5
0
W
08.05.26
Lig
Nantes
Lens
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Nantes
Marseille
3
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Rennes
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Auxerre
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Metz
0
0
D
22.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Strasbourg
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Angers
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Lille
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Le Havre
2
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Monaco
1
3
L
H2H: Marseille vs Nantes
02.05.26
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
3
0
L
04.01.26
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
02.03.25
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
0
W
03.11.24
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
1
2
W
10.03.24
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
0
W
01.09.23
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
1
1
D
01.02.23
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
0
2
W
20.08.22
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
1
W
20.04.22
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
3
2
W
01.12.21
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
0
1
W
20.02.21
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
1
1
D
28.11.20
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
3
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
1
3
L
17.08.19
H2H
Nantes
Marseille
0
0
D
28.04.19
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
1
2
L
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
04.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
25.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Newcastle
2
1
W
H2H at home: Marseille
04.01.26
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
02.03.25
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
0
W
10.03.24
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
0
W
20.08.22
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
1
W
20.04.22
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
3
2
W
28.11.20
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
3
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
1
3
L
28.04.19
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
1
2
L
Last matches: Nantes
14.08.26
Lig
Nantes
Laval
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Le Mans
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Lorient
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Fleury 91
5
0
W
08.05.26
Lig
Nantes
Lens
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Rennes
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Auxerre
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Metz
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Lille
0
1
L
13.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Monaco
1
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Nantes
Lorient
1
2
L
04.01.26
Lig
Nantes
Marseille
2
0
W
21.12.25
Cou
Nantes
Concarneau
5
3
W
12.12.25
Lig
Nantes
Angers
1
4
L
30.11.25
Lig
Nantes
Lyon
0
3
L
08.11.25
Lig
Nantes
Le Havre
1
1
D
24.10.25
Lig
Nantes
Paris FC
2
1
W
04.10.25
Lig
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
0
0
D
27.09.25
Lig
Nantes
Toulouse
2
2
D
H2H away: Nantes
04.01.26
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
W
02.03.25
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
0
L
10.03.24
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
0
L
20.08.22
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
2
1
L
20.04.22
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
3
2
L
28.11.20
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
3
1
L
22.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
1
3
W
28.04.19
H2H
Marseille
Nantes
1
2
W
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
Home
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
Away
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation