FRANCE LIGUE 1
22.03.2026 16:15
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: B. Bastien
Marseille
Match Timeline
Lille
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Nathan Ngoy
Lille
🟨
13'
Mason Greenwood
Marseille
🟨
13'
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
Lille
🟨
13'
Calvin Verdonk
Lille
🔄
18'
M. Greenwood ↔ E. Nwaneri
Marseille
43'
E. Nwaneri · Assist: I. Paixao
Marseille
🔄
45+8'
B. Ozer ↔ A. Bodart
Lille
49'
T. Meunier
Lille
🔄
65'
G. Kondogbia ↔ A. Gouiri
Marseille
🔄
75'
↔ H. J. Traore
Marseille
🔄
78'
F. Correia ↔ O. Giroud
Lille
🔄
78'
C. Verdonk ↔ R. Perraud
Lille
86'
O. Giroud · Assist: T. Meunier
Lille
🔄
90'
Q. Timber ↔ B. Nadir
Marseille
🔄
90'
H. Haraldsson ↔ C. Mbemba
Lille

Marseille vs Lille Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.81
Lille1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
84 GF / 49 GA
Lille Lille
WLDWL
56 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
2.21
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
17
BTTS Yes
15
27
Over 2.5
15
5.71
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 38 matches
Lille Lille 40 matches
Marseille Statistic Lille
21 Wins 19
5 Draws 5
12 Losses 16
84 Goals For 56
49 Goals Against 48
2.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
17 BTTS Yes 15
29 Over 1.5 24
27 Over 2.5 15
17 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 13
5.71 Shots On Goal 4.48
14.34 Total Shots 13.53
5.11 Corners 6.05
57.9% Ball Possession 56.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 3 times, Lille won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:20 from Marseille's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Lille 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 3, draws 6, Lille wins 6

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3
Lille Away
34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation