FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: B. Bastien
Marseille
Match Timeline
Lens
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
A. Gouiri · Assist: I. Paixao
Marseille
13'
E. Nwaneri · Assist: P. Hojbjerg
Marseille
🟨
37'
Wesley Saïd
Lens
🔄
58'
E. Nwaneri ↔ M. Greenwood
Marseille
🔄
59'
O. Edouard ↔ A. Sima
Lens
🟨
61'
Mamadou Sangare
Lens
🟨
70'
Quinten Timber
Marseille
🟨
70'
Florian Thauvin
Lens
🔄
72'
A. Thomasson ↔ A. Bulatovic
Lens
🔄
72'
W. Said ↔ R. Fofana
Lens
🔄
74'
N. Aguerd ↔ B. Pavard
Marseille
🔄
74'
H. J. Traore ↔ D. Bakola
Marseille
🔄
74'
Q. Timber ↔ M. O'Riley
Marseille
75'
A. Gouiri · Assist: T. Weah
Marseille
🔄
78'
R. Aguilar ↔ A. Bermont
Lens
🔄
78'
F. Thauvin ↔ F. Sotoca
Lens
🔄
80'
A. Gouiri ↔ P. Aubameyang
Marseille
85'
R. Fofana · Assist: M. Sangare
Lens

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lens Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.77
Lens1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
67 GF / 30 GA
Lens Lens
WLDWL
38 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
2.48
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
12
BTTS Yes
9
19
Over 2.5
13
6.15
Shots on Goal
5.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 27 matches
Lens Lens 20 matches
Marseille Statistic Lens
16 Wins 16
2 Draws 1
9 Losses 3
67 Goals For 38
30 Goals Against 14
2.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
12 BTTS Yes 9
20 Over 1.5 16
19 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 4
6.15 Shots On Goal 5.65
14.67 Total Shots 15.25
5.26 Corners 6.05
59.5% Ball Possession 51.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 7 times, Lens won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:17 from Marseille's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 3-4-2-1 / Lens 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 7, draws 1, Lens wins 7
Stats
Marseille Marseille
Lens Lens
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 2
18 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 4
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
556 Total passes 471
497 Passes accurate 411
1.00 expected_goals 1.01
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Marseille
Formation
Lens
G. Rulli
G. Rulli
L. Balerdi
L. Balerdi
N. Aguerd
N. Aguerd
F. Medina
F. Medina
T. Weah
🎯
T. Weah
P. Hojbjerg
🎯
P. Hojbjerg
Q. Timber
Q. Timber
I. Paixao
🎯
I. Paixao
E. Nwaneri
E. Nwaneri
H. J. Traore
H. J. Traore
A. Gouiri
⚽ 2
A. Gouiri
R. Risser
R. Risser
I. Ganiou
I. Ganiou
M. Sarr
M. Sarr
M. Udol
M. Udol
S. Abdulhamid
S. Abdulhamid
M. Sangare
🎯
M. Sangare
A. Thomasson
A. Thomasson
R. Aguilar
R. Aguilar
F. Thauvin
F. Thauvin
W. Said
W. Said
O. Edouard
O. Edouard
Marseille 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
G. Rulli
G
5
L. Balerdi
D
21
N. Aguerd
↓ 74'
D
32
F. Medina
D
22
T. Weah
🎯 75'
M
23
P. Hojbjerg
🎯 13'
M
27
Q. Timber
↓ 74' 🟨 70'
M
14
I. Paixao
🎯 3'
M
11
E. Nwaneri
⚽ 13' ↓ 58'
F
20
H. J. Traore
↓ 74'
F
9
A. Gouiri
⚽ 3' ⚽ 75' ↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
12
J. De Lange
G
28
B. Pavard
↑ 74'
D
4
C. Egan-Riley
D
62
M. Murillo
D
50
D. Bakola
↑ 74'
M
17
M. O'Riley
↑ 74'
M
18
A. Vermeeren
M
10
M. Greenwood
↑ 58'
F
97
P. Aubameyang
↑ 80'
F
Lens 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
40
R. Risser
G
25
I. Ganiou
D
20
M. Sarr
D
14
M. Udol
D
23
S. Abdulhamid
M
8
M. Sangare
🎯 85' 🟨 61'
M
28
A. Thomasson
↓ 72'
M
2
R. Aguilar
↓ 78'
M
10
F. Thauvin
↓ 78' 🟨 70'
F
22
W. Said
↓ 72' 🟨 37'
F
11
O. Edouard
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Gorgelin
G
13
N. Celik
D
32
K. Antonio
D
5
A. Bulatovic
↑ 72'
M
18
F. Sylla
M
26
A. Bermont
↑ 78'
M
7
F. Sotoca
↑ 78'
F
19
A. Sima
↑ 59'
F
38
R. Fofana
⚽ 85' ↑ 72'
F
Last matches: Marseille
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
Last matches: Lens
08.08.26
Fri
Lens
Sunderland
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Lens
Charleroi
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Lens
Boulogne
4
1
W
22.05.26
Cou
Lens
Nice
3
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lens
Lyon
4
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
08.05.26
Lig
Lens
Nantes
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lens
Nice
1
1
D
24.04.26
Lig
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
3
3
D
21.04.26
Cou
Lens
Toulouse
4
1
W
17.04.26
Lig
Lens
Toulouse
3
2
W
11.04.26
Fri
Lens
Rouen
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Lens
Lille
0
3
L
20.03.26
Lig
Lens
Angers
5
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
Lens
Lorient
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lens
Metz
3
0
W
05.03.26
Cou
Lens
Lyon
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lig
Lens
Strasbourg
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Lens
Monaco
2
3
L
14.02.26
Lig
Lens
Paris FC
5
0
W
H2H: Marseille vs Lens
24.01.26
H2H
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
L
08.03.25
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
L
23.11.24
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
3
W
28.04.24
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
1
W
12.11.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
0
L
06.05.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
L
22.10.22
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
L
22.01.22
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
2
W
26.09.21
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
3
L
03.02.21
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
2
D
20.01.21
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
L
22.03.15
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
4
W
02.11.14
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
1
W
25.10.11
H2H
Marseille
Lens
4
0
W
Last matches: Marseille
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
04.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
25.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Newcastle
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
05.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Atalanta
0
1
L
H2H at home: Marseille
24.01.26
H2H
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
08.03.25
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
L
28.04.24
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
1
W
22.10.22
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
L
26.09.21
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
3
L
20.01.21
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
L
02.11.14
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
1
W
25.10.11
H2H
Marseille
Lens
4
0
W
Last matches: Lens
17.05.26
Lig
Lens
Lyon
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lens
Nice
1
1
D
24.04.26
Lig
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
3
3
D
04.04.26
Lig
Lens
Lille
0
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Lens
Lorient
1
2
L
05.03.26
Cou
Lens
Lyon
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lig
Lens
Strasbourg
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Lens
Paris FC
5
0
W
04.02.26
Cou
Lens
Estac Troyes
4
2
W
11.01.26
Cou
Lens
Sochaux
3
0
W
02.01.26
Lig
Lens
Toulouse
3
0
W
06.12.25
Lig
Lens
Nantes
2
1
W
30.11.25
Lig
Lens
Angers
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Lens
Monaco
4
1
W
29.10.25
Lig
Lens
Metz
0
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
Lens
Auxerre
2
1
W
28.09.25
Lig
Lens
Rennes
0
0
D
14.09.25
Lig
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
24.08.25
Lig
Lens
Le Havre
2
1
W
10.05.25
Lig
Lens
Toulouse
1
1
D
H2H away: Lens
24.01.26
H2H
Marseille
Lens
3
1
L
08.03.25
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
W
28.04.24
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
1
L
22.10.22
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
W
26.09.21
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
3
W
20.01.21
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
W
02.11.14
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
1
L
25.10.11
H2H
Marseille
Lens
4
0
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2
Lens Away
34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation