Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Marsaxlokk
31 matches
Naxxar Lions
31 matches
| Marsaxlokk | Statistic | Naxxar Lions |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 9 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 14 |
| 39 | Goals For | 39 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Marsaxlokk's more proactive style and Naxxar Lions's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Naxxar Lions having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Naxxar Lions.
Marsaxlokk approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 28 points after 15 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a 19:18 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Dodo (12 goals), A. Majok (4 goals), N. Portelli (4 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Naxxar Lions have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 20 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 21:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Vitinho (11 goals), G. Costa Goncalves (5 goals), Joao Moura (5 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Marsaxlokk won 5 times, Naxxar Lions won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:8 from Marsaxlokk's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Lineups
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hibernians
Marsaxlokk
Zabbar St. Patrick
Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Tarxien Rainbows
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Valletta FC
Naxxar Lions
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
Hibernians
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Birkirkara
Naxxar Lions
Tarxien Rainbows
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
Sliema Wanderers
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
Valletta FC
Naxxar Lions
Zabbar St. Patrick
Naxxar Lions
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
Tarxien Rainbows
Naxxar Lions
Zabbar St. Patrick
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Hibernians
Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
Tarxien Rainbows
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Zabbar St. Patrick
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Tarxien Rainbows
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Valletta FC
Naxxar Lions
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
Zabbar St. Patrick
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
Hibernians
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
Sliema Wanderers
Naxxar Lions
Birkirkara
Naxxar Lions
Hibernians
Naxxar Lions
Zabbar St. Patrick
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Marsaxlokk
Home
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 18 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 |
Naxxar Lions
Away
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:18 | -8 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:21 | -13 | 5 |
L
W
W
D
D
|