Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Marsaxlokk
32 matches
Hamrun Spartans
46 matches
| Marsaxlokk | Statistic | Hamrun Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 21 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 16 |
| 42 | Goals For | 63 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.02 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 20 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 1.75 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 5.33 |
| 0 | Corners | 2.25 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 23.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Marsaxlokk have the edge after taking the first leg 3-2, leaving Hamrun Spartans needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Marsaxlokk. Marsaxlokk look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Marsaxlokk having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Ahead of this knockout test, Hamrun Spartans arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 28 points after 16 matches. The return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 26:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by J. Mbong (14 goals), D. Ceter (5 goals), M. Garcia (4 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Ahead of this knockout test, Marsaxlokk arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 31 points after 16 matches. With 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 22:20, they bring very strong form and are on a winning streak into this tie. Going forward they rely on Dodo (12 goals), A. Majok (5 goals), N. Portelli (4 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Marsaxlokk won 5 times, Hamrun Spartans won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Marsaxlokk's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.
Lineups
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hibernians
Marsaxlokk
Zabbar St. Patrick
Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Tarxien Rainbows
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
Birkirkara
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Hibernians
Hamrun Spartans
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
Sliema Wanderers
Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Tarxien Rainbows
Hamrun Spartans
Sliema Wanderers
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Hibernians
Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
Tarxien Rainbows
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Zabbar St. Patrick
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
Hibernians
Hamrun Spartans
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Shamrock Rovers
Hamrun Spartans
Samsunspor
Hamrun Spartans
Birkirkara
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Sliema Wanderers
Hamrun Spartans
Jagiellonia
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hamrun Spartans
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
Tarxien Rainbows
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 37 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Marsaxlokk
Home
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:20 | 2 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 |
Hamrun Spartans
Away
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26:11 | 15 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 24 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
D
|