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08.11.2026 18:45
Centenary Stadium

Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.63
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
66.1%
1.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.63 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.80 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Marsaxlokk Win 33.9%
Draw 28.4%
Hamrun Spartans Win 37.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marsaxlokk1.33
Hamrun Spartans1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk
W L L W W
10 GF / 5 GA
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
D W D D D
8 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk 15 matches
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 13 matches
Marsaxlokk Statistic Hamrun Spartans
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 6
6 Losses 3
21 Goals For 19
19 Goals Against 16
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
7 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Marsaxlokk won 3 times, Hamrun Spartans won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Marsaxlokk's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.6%)
H2H summary: Marsaxlokk wins 3, draws 0, Hamrun Spartans wins 2

Standings

Premier Division: First stage - Main
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 1 2 23:9 14 25
W L W W W
2 11 6 2 3 21:14 7 20
W L L W W
3 11 5 3 3 15:14 1 18
D W W L D
4 11 4 5 2 17:13 4 17
D W D D D
5 11 4 4 3 22:15 7 16
L L D D D
6 11 4 4 3 13:15 -2 16
W D W W D
7 11 4 3 4 14:11 3 15
D W D L L
8 11 4 2 5 17:16 1 14
W W L W L
9 11 3 5 3 15:20 -5 14
L D L D D
10 11 2 5 4 13:14 -1 11
L L D L D
11 11 1 3 7 9:21 -12 6
D D W L D
12 11 0 5 6 9:26 -17 5
L D L D D
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Premier League (First stage - Play Out)