UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium
Maroons
Match Timeline
Vipers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
Y. Sentamu
Vipers
45'
A. Usama
Vipers
58'
K. Watambala
Vipers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maroons Win 31.3%
Draw 9.8%
Vipers Win 59%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maroons0.74
Vipers1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maroons Maroons
WWDLW
25 GF / 24 GA
Vipers Vipers
WLDWL
50 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.85
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.52
9
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maroons Maroons 28 matches
Vipers Vipers 27 matches
Maroons Statistic Vipers
8 Wins 17
11 Draws 10
9 Losses 0
25 Goals For 50
24 Goals Against 14
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.52
9 BTTS Yes 14
14 Over 1.5 21
9 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 13
13 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vipers. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vipers having the stronger overall control. Vipers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 61 points while Maroons sit 10 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Maroons Analysis

So far, Maroons have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 35 points from 28 matches. The record of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 25:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Mayanja (5 goals), I. Asaba (4 goals), R. Walugembe (3 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Vipers Analysis

Vipers arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 61 points after 28 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 10 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 50:17 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Watambala (10 goals), A. Usama (9 goals), M. Karisa (6 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Maroons won 0 times, Vipers won 10 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:29 from Maroons's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
H2H summary: Maroons wins 0, draws 5, Vipers wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League