Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- |
Maroons
Police
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Maroons
24 matches
Police
24 matches
| Maroons | Statistic | Police |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 12 |
| 9 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 20 | Goals For | 36 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Police. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Police having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Maroons sit 9 with 30 points after 24 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 18:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Asaba (4 goals), I. Mayanja (3 goals), R. Walugembe (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Police are currently 6 in the standings with 41 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 32:26 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Ikamba (8 goals), L. Tezikya (5 goals), U. Kasumba (4 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Maroons won 5 times, Police won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Maroons's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.
Maroons
Lugazi
Maroons
Vipers
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
KCCA
Maroons
URA
Maroons
Mbarara City
Maroons
NEC
Maroons
BUL
Maroons
UPDF
Maroons
Calvary
Maroons
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
Express
Maroons
SC Villa
Maroons
Kitara
Maroons
Mbarara City
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
KCCA
Maroons
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
Express
Maroons
Kitara
Police
Kitara
Police
Entebbe UPPC
Police
Vipers
Police
Calvary
Police
UPDF
Police
URA
Police
Mbarara City
Police
Express
Police
NEC
Police
SC Villa
Police
KCCA
Police
BUL
Police
Buhimba Saints
Police
Lugazi
Police
URA
Police
Vipers
Police
Calvary
Police
KCCA
Police
BUL
Police
Lugazi
Maroons
Vipers
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
BUL
Maroons
UPDF
Maroons
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
Kitara
Maroons
Mbarara City
Maroons
KCCA
Maroons
Express
Maroons
SC Villa
Maroons
NEC
Maroons
Lugazi
Maroons
URA
Maroons
Calvary
Police
Kitara
Police
Calvary
Police
Mbarara City
Police
Express
Police
KCCA
Police
Buhimba Saints
Police
URA
Police
Vipers
Police
BUL
Police
Lugazi
Police
Entebbe UPPC
Police
UPDF
Police
SC Villa
Police
NEC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Police
Away
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
| 8 |
Maroons
Home
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|