PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio do Maritimo
Referee: S. Guelho
Maritimo
Match Timeline
Casa Pia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+2'
David Sousa
Casa Pia
61'
Raphael Guzzo · Assist: M. Tejon
Maritimo
🔄
66'
A. Conte ↔ P. Rosas
Casa Pia
🔄
66'
K. Osundina ↔ K. Prieto
Casa Pia
🔄
78'
Gabi ↔ A. Jatta
Casa Pia
🔄
80'
S. Perez ↔ S. Clua
Casa Pia
🔄
80'
J. Goulart ↔ Kaly
Casa Pia
🔄
82'
S. Bouzaidi ↔ S. Bamba
Maritimo
🟨
86'
Alassana Jatta
Casa Pia
🔄
87'
M. Tejon ↔ T. Tavares
Maritimo
🔄
87'
A. Butzke ↔ M. Boakye
Maritimo
🟨
90+6'
Tomás Tavares
Maritimo
🟨
90+1'
Raphael Guzzo
Maritimo
🔄
90+1'
V. Danilovic ↔ J. Santiago Perez
Maritimo
🔄
90+1'
Raphael Guzzo ↔ G. Szalai
Maritimo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 47.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
47.1%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
84.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maritimo Win 47.1%
Draw 16.9%
Casa Pia Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maritimo1.67
Casa Pia1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maritimo Maritimo
WWDLW
6 GF / 7 GA
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WLDWL
4 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maritimo Maritimo 6 matches
Casa Pia Casa Pia 3 matches
Maritimo Statistic Casa Pia
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 0
2 Losses 2
6 Goals For 4
7 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
2 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Maritimo won 1 times, Casa Pia won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Maritimo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Maritimo 4-2-3-1 / Casa Pia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Maritimo wins 1, draws 1, Casa Pia wins 2
Stats
Maritimo Maritimo
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 6
17 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
307 Total passes 470
239 Passes accurate 416
1.28 expected_goals 0.64
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Maritimo
Formation
Casa Pia
A. Pastor
A. Pastor
Igor Juliao
Igor Juliao
R. Fernandes
R. Fernandes
R. Correia
R. Correia
P. Henrique
P. Henrique
V. Danilovic
V. Danilovic
R. Andrade
R. Andrade
S. Bouzaidi
S. Bouzaidi
Raphael Guzzo
Raphael Guzzo
M. Tejon
🎯
M. Tejon
A. Butzke
A. Butzke
A. Gomes
A. Gomes
A. Geraldes
A. Geraldes
J. Goulart
J. Goulart
D. Sousa
D. Sousa
A. Conte
A. Conte
S. Perez
S. Perez
L. Ofori
L. Ofori
Gabi
Gabi
K. Osundina
K. Osundina
H. Araujo
H. Araujo
Rochinha
Rochinha
Maritimo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
A. Pastor
G
2
Igor Juliao
D
4
R. Fernandes
D
44
R. Correia
D
23
P. Henrique
D
18
V. Danilovic
↓ 90+1'
M
6
R. Andrade
M
11
S. Bouzaidi
↓ 82'
M
14
Raphael Guzzo
⚽ 61' ↓ 90+1' 🟨 90+1'
M
10
M. Tejon
🎯 61' ↓ 87'
M
17
A. Butzke
↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
1
G. Tabuaco
G
77
Pedro Teixeira
27
S. Bamba
↑ 82'
F
25
J. Santiago Perez
↑ 90+1'
M
16
F. Silva
M
15
T. Tavares
↑ 87' 🟨 90+6'
D
22
G. Szalai
↑ 90+1'
D
66
I. Ayuma
M
90
M. Boakye
↑ 87'
F
68
N. Batista
M
Casa Pia 4-3-3
Starting XI
31
A. Gomes
G
18
A. Geraldes
D
4
J. Goulart
↓ 80'
D
43
D. Sousa
🟨 45+2'
D
5
A. Conte
↓ 66'
D
24
S. Perez
↓ 80'
M
80
L. Ofori
M
8
Gabi
↓ 78'
M
13
K. Osundina
↓ 66'
F
9
H. Araujo
F
10
Rochinha
F
Substitutes
22
D. Azevedo
G
95
I. Mandic
G
27
Kaique Rocha
D
75
P. Rosas
↑ 66'
D
20
A. Jatta
↑ 78' 🟨 86'
F
99
C. Mendes
F
11
R. Blanco
M
19
K. Prieto
↑ 66'
F
16
S. Clua
↑ 80'
M
3
Kaly
↑ 80'
D
59
A. Dafe
M
Last matches: Maritimo
22.08.26
Pri
Maritimo
Academico Viseu
2
2
D
16.08.26
Pri
Maritimo
Famalicao
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Estrela Calheta
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Machico
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Camacha
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Leixoes
1
5
L
14.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
AVS
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Academica
0
1
L
Last matches: Casa Pia
17.08.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
7
L
01.08.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Leixoes
2
6
L
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
H2H: Maritimo vs Casa Pia
08.08.26
H2H
Maritimo
Casa Pia
1
0
W
19.03.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Maritimo
2
0
L
03.10.22
H2H
Maritimo
Casa Pia
1
2
L
23.07.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Maritimo
0
0
D
Last matches: Maritimo
22.08.26
Pri
Maritimo
Academico Viseu
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Estrela Calheta
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Machico
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Camacha
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Leixoes
1
5
L
14.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
AVS
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Academica
0
1
L
H2H at home: Maritimo
08.08.26
H2H
Maritimo
Casa Pia
1
0
W
03.10.22
H2H
Maritimo
Casa Pia
1
2
L
Last matches: Casa Pia
01.08.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Leixoes
2
6
L
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
1
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
16.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
3
L
04.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
4
L
27.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
2
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
4
L
H2H away: Casa Pia
08.08.26
H2H
Maritimo
Casa Pia
1
0
L
03.10.22
H2H
Maritimo
Casa Pia
1
2
W