Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
47.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
41.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
84.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Maritimo Win 47.1%
Draw 16.9%
Casa Pia Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maritimo1.67
Casa Pia1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maritimo
WWDLW
6 GF / 7 GA
Casa Pia
WLDWL
4 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Maritimo
6 matches
Casa Pia
3 matches
| Maritimo | Statistic | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 6 | Goals For | 4 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.67 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Maritimo won 0 times, Casa Pia won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Maritimo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Maritimo - / Casa Pia 3-4-3
H2H summary: Maritimo wins 0, draws 1, Casa Pia wins 2
Last matches: Maritimo
29.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Estrela
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Machico
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Camacha
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Leixoes
1
5
L
14.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
AVS
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Academica
0
1
L
Last matches: Casa Pia
01.08.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Leixoes
2
6
L
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
02.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
H2H: Maritimo vs Casa Pia
19.03.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Maritimo
2
0
L
03.10.22
H2H
Maritimo
Casa Pia
1
2
L
23.07.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Maritimo
0
0
D
Last matches: Maritimo
29.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Estrela
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Machico
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Camacha
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Leixoes
1
5
L
14.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
AVS
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Academica
0
1
L
H2H at home: Maritimo
03.10.22
H2H
Maritimo
Casa Pia
1
2
L
Last matches: Casa Pia
01.08.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Leixoes
2
6
L
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
1
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
16.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
3
L
04.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
4
L
27.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
2
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
4
L
H2H away: Casa Pia
03.10.22
H2H
Maritimo
Casa Pia
1
2
W
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 |
Maritimo
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 |
Casa Pia
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2