PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
08.08.2026 14:30
Estadio do Maritimo
Referee: Sergio Guelho, Portugal
Maritimo
Match Timeline
Casa Pia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+2'
David Sousa
Casa Pia
61'
Raphael Guzzo · Assist: M. Tejon
Maritimo
🔄
66'
A. Conte ↔ P. Rosas
Casa Pia
🔄
66'
K. Osundina ↔ K. Prieto
Casa Pia
🔄
78'
Gabi ↔ A. Jatta
Casa Pia
🔄
80'
S. Perez ↔ S. Clua
Casa Pia
🔄
80'
J. Goulart ↔ Kaly
Casa Pia
🔄
82'
S. Bouzaidi ↔ S. Bamba
Maritimo
🟨
86'
Alassana Jatta
Casa Pia
🔄
87'
M. Tejon ↔ T. Tavares
Maritimo
🔄
87'
A. Butzke ↔ M. Boakye
Maritimo
🟨
90+6'
Tomás Tavares
Maritimo
🟨
90+1'
Raphael Guzzo
Maritimo
🔄
90+1'
V. Danilovic ↔ J. Santiago Perez
Maritimo
🔄
90+1'
Raphael Guzzo ↔ G. Szalai
Maritimo

Maritimo vs Casa Pia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 47.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
47.1%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
84.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maritimo Win 47.1%
Draw 16.9%
Casa Pia Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maritimo1.67
Casa Pia1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maritimo Maritimo
WWDLW
6 GF / 7 GA
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WLDWL
4 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maritimo Maritimo 6 matches
Casa Pia Casa Pia 3 matches
Maritimo Statistic Casa Pia
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 0
2 Losses 2
6 Goals For 4
7 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
2 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Maritimo won 1 times, Casa Pia won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Maritimo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Maritimo 4-2-3-1 / Casa Pia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Maritimo wins 1, draws 1, Casa Pia wins 2

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 15:2 13 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 21:4 17 16
W W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
D W W W W
4 6 4 2 0 11:4 7 14
W W D W W
5 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
L D W L W
6 5 2 3 0 11:9 2 9
W D W D D
7 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
W W L D L
8 4 2 1 1 6:5 1 7
L W W D
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
L L D W W
10 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
L L D W W
11 6 1 2 3 8:11 -3 5
W L D L D
12 6 0 4 2 5:7 -2 4
D D D L L
13 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L W L
14 6 1 1 4 7:11 -4 4
L L L L W
15 5 1 1 3 4:12 -8 4
L L W L D
16 5 1 0 4 2:11 -9 3
L L W L L
17 5 0 2 3 2:7 -5 2
D L L L D
18 6 0 1 5 1:15 -14 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2