PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
05.09.2026 17:00
Estadio do Maritimo
Referee: Sergio Guelho, Portugal
Maritimo
Match Timeline
Benfica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
L. Barreiro
Benfica
🔄
17'
A. Bah ↔ J. Kaminski
Benfica
🟨
40'
Vladan Danilović
Maritimo
🟨
41'
Georgiy Sudakov
Benfica
🟨
42'
Igor Julião
Maritimo
🟨
61'
Tomás Araújo
Benfica
🔄
62'
G. Sudakov ↔ A. Circati
Benfica
🔄
62'
Rafa Silva ↔ A. Schjelderup
Benfica
🟨
66'
Alessandro Circati
Benfica
🔄
66'
V. Danilovic ↔ I. Ayuma
Maritimo
🔄
66'
B. Limbombe ↔ S. Bamba
Maritimo
71'
L. Barreiro · Assist: V. Pavlidis
Benfica
🔄
78'
Igor Juliao ↔ Nilton
Maritimo
🔄
78'
A. Butzke ↔ M. Boakye
Maritimo
🔄
82'
J. Palhinha ↔ E. Barrenechea
Benfica
🔄
82'
V. Pavlidis ↔ J. Duran
Benfica
82'
G. Prestianni
Benfica
🔄
90+2'
Raphael Guzzo ↔ M. Dominguez
Maritimo

Maritimo vs Benfica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.8%
Odds 1.20
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.8%
1.20
BTTS Yes
86%
2.05
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.53
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84%
1.23
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
3.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Maritimo Win 36.9%
Draw 16.3%
Benfica Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maritimo1.12
Benfica2.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maritimo Maritimo
WWDLW
12 GF / 12 GA
Benfica Benfica
WLDWL
38 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
3.17
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
10
4
Shots on Goal
6.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maritimo Maritimo 10 matches
Benfica Benfica 12 matches
Maritimo Statistic Benfica
4 Wins 8
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
12 Goals For 38
12 Goals Against 12
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 3.17
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 9
7 Over 1.5 12
4 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 6.56
12 Total Shots 8.11
2.5 Corners 4.89
43.3% Ball Possession 43.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Maritimo won 2 times, Benfica won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:46 from Maritimo's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)
Predicted formations: Maritimo 4-3-3 / Benfica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Maritimo wins 2, draws 1, Benfica wins 12

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 18:3 15 21
W W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 22:7 15 16
L W W W W
3 7 4 3 0 17:8 9 15
D D W W W
4 7 4 3 0 11:4 7 15
D W W D W
5 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
D L D W L
6 6 3 2 1 7:5 2 11
D W L W W
7 7 3 2 2 9:9 0 11
W W W L D
8 7 2 4 1 14:14 0 10
L D W D W
9 6 2 2 2 5:5 0 8
D L L D W
10 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
W W L D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:12 -4 8
D L L L D
12 7 2 2 3 8:14 -6 8
D W L L W
13 7 1 4 2 9:7 2 7
W D D D L
14 7 1 2 4 5:8 -3 5
D L D L W
15 7 1 1 5 7:15 -8 4
L L L L L
16 7 1 1 5 5:15 -10 4
L D L L W
17 7 1 1 5 3:16 -13 4
W L D L L
18 7 0 2 5 3:10 -7 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2