BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. Nascimento
Maringá
Match Timeline
Maranhão
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Mauricio
Maranhão
🔄
33'
Mauricio ↔ Ball
Maranhão
🔄
46'
↔ Edson Fernando
Maranhão
🔄
46'
Luis Gustavo ↔ Rafael Teixeira
Maranhão
🔄
61'
Felipe Cruz ↔ Joelson
Maranhão
🔄
70'
Paulinho ↔ Danielzinho
Maringá
🔄
70'
Rafinha ↔ Bruno Cheron
Maringá
🔄
70'
Caique Calito ↔ Rai Natalino
Maringá
🟨
80'
Gabriel Santos
Maringá
🔄
81'
Ronald Camarao ↔ Giovane Gomez
Maringá
🔄
81'
Gabriel Santos ↔ Rian Patric
Maringá
🟨
82'
Rodrigo
Maranhão
🔄
89'
Andre Radija ↔ Lucas Santos
Maranhão
🟨
90+3'
Jean
Maranhão
🔄
90+2'
Wendel Lomar ↔ Iago Santana
Maringá
🔄
90+7'
Vagalume ↔ Jorge Rocha
Maranhão

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.54
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.9%
1.54
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.69
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
2.40
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Maringá Win 63.9%
Draw 7.4%
Maranhão Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maringá1.75
Maranhão1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maringá Maringá
WWDLW
19 GF / 21 GA
Maranhão Maranhão
WLDWL
9 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.11
Average Goals Scored
1
2.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
8
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maringá Maringá 9 matches
Maranhão Maranhão 9 matches
Maringá Statistic Maranhão
4 Wins 3
1 Draws 3
4 Losses 3
19 Goals For 9
21 Goals Against 11
2.11 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
8 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 5
7 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Maranhão. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maranhão having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Maringá Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Maringá have collected 13 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 19:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Edison Negueba (3 goals), Bruno Cheron (2 goals), Guilherme Pira (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maranhão Analysis

So far, Maranhão have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 12 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vagalume (3 goals), Felipe Cruz (2 goals), Vander (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Maringá won 0 times, Maranhão won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Maringá's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
H2H summary: Maringá wins 0, draws 1, Maranhão wins 0

Lineups

Maringá
Formation
Maranhão
Rafinha
Rafinha
Neto
Neto
Gabriel Souza
Gabriel Souza
Jhow Alecxander
Jhow Alecxander
Gabriel Santos
Gabriel Santos
Wendel Lomar
Wendel Lomar
Paulinho
Paulinho
Lucas Bonifacio
Lucas Bonifacio
Edison Negueba
Edison Negueba
Caique Calito
Caique Calito
Ronald Camarao
Ronald Camarao
Vander
Vander
Jean
Jean
Mauricio
Mauricio
Lucao
Lucao
Tiburcio
Tiburcio
Andre Radija
Andre Radija
Rodrigo
Rodrigo
Vagalume
Vagalume
Will
Will
Felipe Cruz
Felipe Cruz
Luis Gustavo
Luis Gustavo
Maringá 1 (estimated)
Starting XI
77
Rafinha
↓ 70'
F
25
Neto
2
Gabriel Souza
18
Jhow Alecxander
3
Gabriel Santos
↓ 81' 🟨 80'
4
Wendel Lomar
↓ 90+2'
23
Paulinho
↓ 70'
28
Lucas Bonifacio
7
Edison Negueba
99
Caique Calito
↓ 70'
21
Ronald Camarao
↓ 81'
Substitutes
1
Tony
5
Kelvi Gomes
8
Adeilson
9
Giovane Gomez
↑ 81'
11
Danielzinho
↑ 70'
M
13
Keven
15
N. Neira
M
17
Iago Santana
↑ 90+2'
20
Bruno Cheron
↑ 70'
29
Rai Natalino
↑ 70'
32
Caua Tavares
37
Rian Patric
↑ 81'
Maranhão 1 (estimated)
Starting XI
8
Vander
M
1
Jean
🟨 90+3'
25
Mauricio
↓ 33' 🟨 24'
4
Lucao
14
Tiburcio
16
Andre Radija
↓ 89'
22
Rodrigo
🟨 82'
20
Vagalume
↓ 90+7'
17
Will
29
Felipe Cruz
↓ 61'
26
Luis Gustavo
↓ 46'
Substitutes
12
Vitao
2
Ball
↑ 33'
3
Edson Fernando
↑ 46'
6
Lucas Santos
↑ 89'
7
Felipe Sales
9
Joelson
↑ 61'
10
Jorge Rocha
↑ 90+7'
13
Caio Victor
19
Rafael Teixeira
↑ 46'
Last matches: Maringá
30.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Ypiranga-RS
4
1
W
11.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Maringá
AO Itabaiana
4
2
W
26.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ituano
1
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Brusque
2
3
L
13.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Figueirense
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ferroviária
3
2
W
Last matches: Maranhão
21.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Paysandu
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Anápolis
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Caxias
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Confiança
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Botafogo PB
3
1
W
04.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Floresta
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Volta Redonda
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Amazonas
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Barra
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
20.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
14.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
06.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
ASA
3
0
W
30.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
ASA
1
0
W
24.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Central SC
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Central SC
2
1
W
10.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
02.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Tuna Luso
4
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Maranhão
Altos
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Maranhão
Maracanã
3
0
W
H2H: Maringá vs Maranhão
15.06.26
H2H
Maringá
Maranhão
0
0
D
Last matches: Maringá
23.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Maringá
AO Itabaiana
4
2
W
20.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Brusque
2
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ferroviária
3
2
W
H2H at home: Maringá
15.06.26
H2H
Maringá
Maranhão
0
0
D
Last matches: Maranhão
31.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Anápolis
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Confiança
1
2
L
04.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Floresta
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Amazonas
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Barra
0
3
L
20.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
ASA
3
0
W
24.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Central SC
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
26.07.25
Ser
Maranhão
Altos
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Maranhão
Imperatriz
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
Maranhão
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
15.06.25
Ser
Maranhão
Parnahyba
2
2
D
30.05.25
Ser
Maranhão
Iguatu
0
1
L
21.05.25
Ser
Maranhão
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Maranhão
Maracanã
0
0
D
H2H away: Maranhão
15.06.26
H2H
Maringá
Maranhão
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.28
Draw 3.93
Home 1.54
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.34
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.69
Over 2.75 1.88
Over 3.0 2.17
Over 3.25 2.43
Over 3.5 2.71
Under 1.75 2.85
Under 2.0 3.15
Under 2.25 2.45
Under 2.5 2.11
Under 2.75 1.90
Under 3.0 1.66
Under 3.25 1.51
Under 3.5 1.42
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.25
Draw 3.60
Home 1.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.30
Home 2.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.62
Home 1.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.82
Draw 3.80
Home 1.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.90
Draw 2.17
Home 2.08
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 2.71
Home 1.81
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 1.75 1.23
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.48
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.84
Over 3.0 2.08
Over 3.25 2.38
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 3.75 3.16
Over 4.0 4.15
Over 4.25 4.51
Over 4.5 4.90
Over 4.75 6.15
Over 5.0 8.80
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 0.75 8.90
Under 1.0 8.30
Under 1.25 5.46
Under 1.5 3.96
Under 1.75 3.52
Under 2.0 3.08
Under 2.25 2.38
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 2.75 1.84
Under 3.0 1.60
Under 3.25 1.48
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 3.75 1.28
Under 4.0 1.16
Under 4.25 1.13
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 3.55
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.33
Home 2.18
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.63
Home 2.02
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.0 1.38
Over 2.25 1.61
Over 2.5 1.82
Over 2.75 2.05
Over 3.0 2.45
Over 3.25 2.75
Over 3.5 3.05
Over 3.75 3.75
Over 4.0 5.00
Over 4.25 5.30
Over 4.5 5.60
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.0 2.70
Under 2.25 2.15
Under 2.5 1.86
Under 2.75 1.66
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.37
Under 3.5 1.32
Under 3.75 1.22
Under 4.0 1.13
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.10

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
2 10 5 3 2 15:10 5 18
L D W L W
3 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D D L W W
4 10 5 3 2 13:10 3 18
W W D W L
5 10 5 2 3 17:13 4 17
L L W L W
6 10 5 1 4 12:12 0 16
W L L L L
7 10 4 4 2 10:9 1 16
W D W W D
8 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D W D
9 10 4 3 3 12:11 1 15
L W L W D
10 11 4 3 4 9:8 1 15
L W D D W
11 11 4 3 4 10:14 -4 15
D W W D L
12 10 4 2 4 19:21 -2 14
D L D W L
13 11 4 2 5 14:16 -2 14
W D L L L
14 11 4 2 5 7:11 -4 14
L W W W L
15 11 4 1 6 13:15 -2 13
W D W L L
16 10 3 4 3 9:11 -2 13
D D D L W
17 10 2 5 3 12:10 2 11
L D L D D
18 11 2 2 7 8:14 -6 8
W L D L D
19 10 2 1 7 4:9 -5 7
L L D W L
20 11 1 4 6 8:17 -9 7
L D L D W
Play-offs
Relegation