BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: D. Cidral
Maringá
Match Timeline
Guarani Campinas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
Guilherme Cachoeira
Guarani Campinas
🟨
10'
Mateus Claus
Guarani Campinas
10'
Maranhao
Guarani Campinas
🟨
13'
Yan Henrique
Guarani Campinas
20'
Maranhao
Guarani Campinas
🟨
25'
Iago Santana
Maringá
🔄
31'
Caua Tavares ↔ Bruno Cheron
Maringá
🟨
35'
Adeilson
Maringá
🟨
40'
Nathan Melo
Guarani Campinas
🔄
46'
Adeilson ↔ Rai Natalino
Maringá
🟨
56'
Maranhao
Guarani Campinas
🔄
57'
Yan Henrique ↔ Raphael
Guarani Campinas
🔄
57'
Herbert ↔ Guilherme Parede
Guarani Campinas
🔄
60'
Jhow Alecxander ↔ Rafinha
Maringá
🟨
61'
Rai Natalino
Maringá
🟨
66'
Paulinho
Maringá
66'
Jonathan Costa
Guarani Campinas
🔄
68'
Lucas Bonifacio ↔ Giovane Gomez
Maringá
🔄
68'
Caique Calito ↔ Felipe Cardoso
Maringá
🔄
69'
Maranhao ↔ Mirandinha
Guarani Campinas
🟨
71'
Joao Paulo
Guarani Campinas
82'
Joao Paulo
Guarani Campinas
🟨
84'
Raphael
Guarani Campinas
🔄
84'
Nathan Melo ↔ Rafael Donato
Guarani Campinas
🔄
84'
Guilherme Cachoeira ↔ Kaua Jesus
Guarani Campinas
🟨
90+1'
Paulinho
Maringá
🟥
90+1'
Paulinho
Maringá

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 83.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
83.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maringá Win 70.8%
Draw 8.6%
Guarani Campinas Win 20.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maringá1.88
Guarani Campinas1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maringá Maringá
WWDLW
13 GF / 12 GA
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas
WLDWL
7 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
1.4
2.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
5
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maringá Maringá 5 matches
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 5 matches
Maringá Statistic Guarani Campinas
3 Wins 2
0 Draws 3
2 Losses 0
13 Goals For 7
12 Goals Against 4
2.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
2.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
5 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 1
5 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Guarani Campinas. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guarani Campinas having the stronger overall control.

Maringá Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Maringá have collected 9 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 13:12 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Edison Negueba (3 goals), Guilherme Pira (2 goals), Rafinha (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Guarani Campinas Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Guarani Campinas have collected 9 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 7:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Hebert (3 goals), Emerson Barbosa (1 goals), Guilherme Cachoeira (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Maringá won 1 times, Guarani Campinas won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Maringá's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
H2H summary: Maringá wins 1, draws 0, Guarani Campinas wins 1

Lineups

Maringá
Formation
Guarani Campinas
Neto
Neto
Jhow Alecxander
Jhow Alecxander
Caua Tavares
Caua Tavares
Gabriel Santos
Gabriel Santos
Paulinho
Paulinho
Kelvi Gomes
Kelvi Gomes
Adeilson
Adeilson
Lucas Bonifacio
Lucas Bonifacio
Edison Negueba
Edison Negueba
Caique Calito
Caique Calito
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Caique Franca
Caique Franca
Yan Henrique
Yan Henrique
Jonathan Costa
Jonathan Costa
Mauricio Antonio
Mauricio Antonio
Renan Castro
Renan Castro
Nathan Melo
Nathan Melo
Carlos Eduardo
Carlos Eduardo
Joao Paulo
Joao Paulo
Herbert
Herbert
Guilherme Cachoeira
Guilherme Cachoeira
Maranhao
⚽ 2
Maranhao
Maringá 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
Neto
18
Jhow Alecxander
↓ 60'
32
Caua Tavares
↓ 31'
3
Gabriel Santos
23
Paulinho
🟨 66' 🟨 90+1' 🟥 90+1'
5
Kelvi Gomes
8
Adeilson
↓ 46' 🟨 35'
28
Lucas Bonifacio
↓ 68'
7
Edison Negueba
99
Caique Calito
↓ 68'
11
Danielzinho
Substitutes
2
Gabriel Souza
9
Giovane Gomez
↑ 68'
12
Romario
14
Felipe Cardoso
↑ 68'
15
N. Neira
17
Iago Santana
🟨 25'
20
Bruno Cheron
↑ 31'
21
Ronald Camarao
26
Wallace
29
Rai Natalino
↑ 46' 🟨 61'
37
Rian Patric
77
Rafinha
↑ 60'
Guarani Campinas 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Caique Franca
2
Yan Henrique
↓ 57' 🟨 13'
4
Jonathan Costa
⚽ 66'
13
Mauricio Antonio
6
Renan Castro
8
Nathan Melo
↓ 84' 🟨 40'
15
Carlos Eduardo
10
Joao Paulo
⚽ 82' 🟨 71'
11
Herbert
↓ 57'
21
Guilherme Cachoeira
⚽ 2' ↓ 84'
19
Maranhao
⚽ 10' ⚽ 20' ↓ 69' 🟨 56'
Substitutes
12
Mateus Claus
🟨 10'
3
Raphael
↑ 57' 🟨 84'
5
Rafael Donato
↑ 84'
16
Kaua Jesus
↑ 84'
18
Isaque
20
Diego Torres
23
Rafael Freitas
17
Mirandinha
↑ 69'
7
Guilherme Parede
↑ 57'
9
Lucca
Last matches: Maringá
09.08.26
Ser
Maringá
Amazonas
0
3
L
27.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Floresta
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Anápolis
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Volta Redonda
4
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Inter De Limeira
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Caxias
1
1
D
15.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Maranhão
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Ypiranga-RS
4
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Maringá
AO Itabaiana
4
2
W
26.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ituano
1
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Brusque
2
3
L
13.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Figueirense
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ferroviária
3
2
W
Last matches: Guarani Campinas
10.08.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Anápolis
1
2
L
27.07.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Inter De Limeira
3
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Paysandu
2
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Floresta
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Figueirense
1
1
D
22.06.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Confiança
0
2
L
13.06.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Caxias
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Amazonas
5
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Barra
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Ituano
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Ferroviária
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
AO Itabaiana
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Maranhão
1
1
D
H2H: Maringá vs Guarani Campinas
11.05.26
H2H
Maringá
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
13.04.25
H2H
Guarani Campinas
Maringá
2
3
W
Last matches: Maringá
09.08.26
Ser
Maringá
Amazonas
0
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Volta Redonda
4
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Maranhão
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Maringá
AO Itabaiana
4
2
W
20.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Brusque
2
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ferroviária
3
2
W
H2H at home: Maringá
11.05.26
H2H
Maringá
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
Last matches: Guarani Campinas
10.08.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Anápolis
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Paysandu
2
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Figueirense
1
1
D
22.06.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Confiança
0
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Barra
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Ferroviária
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Maranhão
1
1
D
H2H away: Guarani Campinas
11.05.26
H2H
Maringá
Guarani Campinas
0
5
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 8 4 4 20:17 3 28
W L W W D
2 16 8 3 5 22:17 5 27
L W L W L
3 16 8 2 6 23:18 5 26
D W W W W
4 16 8 2 6 25:22 3 26
W L W L L
5 16 7 5 4 29:17 12 26
L W L D D
6 16 7 4 5 17:13 4 25
D L W W W
7 16 7 3 6 22:20 2 24
W W L W D
8 16 6 6 4 16:12 4 24
W L D W D
9 16 6 6 4 17:14 3 24
D D W L L
10 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W L L L
11 16 6 5 5 28:28 0 23
L D W W D
12 16 6 4 6 18:17 1 22
W L L L D
13 16 5 6 5 17:19 -2 21
L D D D W
14 16 5 6 5 13:15 -2 21
W D W L D
15 16 5 6 5 15:20 -5 21
D W D L D
16 16 5 3 8 11:21 -10 18
L L D L W
17 16 4 5 7 13:20 -7 17
L D W W W
18 16 4 3 9 15:20 -5 15
W W L L D
19 16 3 6 7 17:19 -2 15
L L L W L
20 16 3 3 10 10:17 -7 12
L D L L D
Play-offs
Relegation