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BRAZIL › SERIE C
10.10.2026 20:00
Referee: F. Rodrigues
Maringá
Match Timeline
Floresta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Nonato
Floresta
🔄
46'
Rafinha ↔ Matheus Lima
Floresta
⚽
57'
Ronald Camarao
Maringá
🟥
61'
Matheus Lima
Floresta
🔄
72'
Adeilson ↔ Serginho
Maringá
🔄
72'
Rafa Marcos ↔ Baianinho
Floresta
🔄
73'
Caique ↔ Diego Matos
Floresta
⚽
75'
Paulinho
Maringá
🔄
79'
Nonato ↔ Matheusinho
Floresta
🔄
79'
Thalisson ↔ Guilherme Borges
Floresta
🔄
81'
Jhow Alecxander ↔ Felipe Cardoso
Maringá
🔄
82'
Caique Calito ↔ Giovane Gomez
Maringá
🔄
82'
Edison Negueba ↔ Guilherme Pira
Maringá
🔄
82'
Paulinho ↔ Iago Santana
Maringá

Maringá vs Floresta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.10
BTTS
No
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.2%
1.10 ▥
BTTS No
70.3%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
88%
1.70 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.11 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
6.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Maringá Win 47.1%
Draw 21.1%
Floresta Win 31.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maringá1.3
Floresta1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maringá Maringá
WWDLW
36 GF / 32 GA
Floresta Floresta
WLDWL
25 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
14
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maringá Maringá 24 matches
Floresta Floresta 24 matches
Maringá Statistic Floresta
10 Wins 9
8 Draws 8
6 Losses 7
36 Goals For 25
32 Goals Against 24
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1
14 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Floresta. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Floresta having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Maringá Analysis

Placed 4 with 30 points from 19 outings, Maringá continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 32:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Floresta Analysis

Floresta arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 30 points after 19 matches. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 22:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Maringá won 1 times, Floresta won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Maringá's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.9%)
H2H summary: Maringá wins 1, draws 2, Floresta wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W D D L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D D L D
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L D W W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W D D W L
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D D L W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D W D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
D W L D L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
L D D W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation