BRAZIL SERIE C
23.08.2026 19:00
Referee: W. Oliveira
Maringá
Match Timeline
Barra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
Jesiel ↔ Gabriel Souza
Maringá
🟨
26'
Barra
Barra
🟨
31'
Ronald Carvalho
Maringá
54'
Neto
Barra
🔄
61'
Lucas Bonifacio ↔ Giovane Gomez
Maringá
🔄
62'
Renan Bernabe ↔ Gabriel Silva
Barra
🔄
62'
Saymon ↔ Betinho
Barra
🟨
66'
Augusto Potiguar
Barra
🔄
67'
Pedro Pecanha ↔ Tete
Barra
🔄
73'
Adeilson ↔ Iago Santana
Maringá
🔄
73'
Paulinho ↔ Rai Natalino
Maringá
🔄
73'
Caique Calito ↔ Serginho
Maringá
84'
Edison Negueba
Maringá
🔄
86'
Cleo Silva ↔ Warley Jr
Barra
🔄
86'
Marquinho ↔ Marcelinho
Barra
88'
Giovane Gomez
Maringá
🟥
90'
Serginho
Maringá
🟨
90+1'
Barra
Barra
🟨
90+5'
Warley Jr
Barra

Maringá vs Barra Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 77.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
77.6%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maringá Win 54.1%
Draw 23.5%
Barra Win 22.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maringá1.47
Barra1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maringá Maringá
WWDLW
29 GF / 29 GA
Barra Barra
WLDWL
18 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
12
BTTS Yes
8
11
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maringá Maringá 17 matches
Barra Barra 17 matches
Maringá Statistic Barra
6 Wins 4
6 Draws 6
5 Losses 7
29 Goals For 18
29 Goals Against 19
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
12 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 12
11 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Barra arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Barra. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barra having the stronger overall control.

Maringá Analysis

So far, Maringá have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 23 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 28:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barra Analysis

Barra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 15 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 17:19 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Maringá won 1 times, Barra won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Maringá's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (77.6%)
H2H summary: Maringá wins 1, draws 0, Barra wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17
Barra Away
19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation