BRAZIL SERIE C
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maringá Win 84.6%
Draw 7.7%
Amazonas Win 7.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maringá1.65
Amazonas1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maringá Maringá
WWDLW
28 GF / 25 GA
Amazonas Amazonas
WLDWL
15 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
1
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
11
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maringá Maringá 15 matches
Amazonas Amazonas 15 matches
Maringá Statistic Amazonas
6 Wins 6
5 Draws 2
4 Losses 7
28 Goals For 15
25 Goals Against 20
1.87 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
11 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 6
9 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Maringá's more proactive style and Amazonas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Amazonas. Amazonas arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Amazonas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Maringá Analysis

So far, Maringá have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 23 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 28:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Amazonas Analysis

Amazonas approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 20 points from 15 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 15:20, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Maringá won 0 times, Amazonas won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Maringá's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.3%)
H2H summary: Maringá wins 0, draws 0, Amazonas wins 1
Last matches: Maringá
27.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Floresta
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Anápolis
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Volta Redonda
4
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Inter De Limeira
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Caxias
1
1
D
15.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Maranhão
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Ypiranga-RS
4
1
W
11.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Maringá
AO Itabaiana
4
2
W
26.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ituano
1
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Brusque
2
3
L
13.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Figueirense
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ferroviária
3
2
W
Last matches: Amazonas
26.07.26
Ser
Amazonas
Paysandu
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Amazonas
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
07.07.26
Ser
Amazonas
AO Itabaiana
0
2
L
30.06.26
Ser
Amazonas
Volta Redonda
0
3
L
21.06.26
Ser
Amazonas
Barra
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ser
Amazonas
Anápolis
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
24.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Ferroviária
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Floresta
2
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Figueirense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Caxias
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Amazonas
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Amazonas
Maranhão
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Amazonas
Ituano
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Amazonas
Confiança
1
0
W
H2H: Maringá vs Amazonas
15.03.24
H2H
Maringá
Amazonas
0
1
L
Last matches: Maringá
04.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Volta Redonda
4
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Maranhão
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Maringá
AO Itabaiana
4
2
W
20.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Brusque
2
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ferroviária
3
2
W
H2H at home: Maringá
15.03.24
H2H
Maringá
Amazonas
0
1
L
Last matches: Amazonas
12.07.26
Ser
Amazonas
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
30.06.26
Ser
Amazonas
Volta Redonda
0
3
L
21.06.26
Ser
Amazonas
Barra
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
16.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Floresta
2
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Amazonas
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Amazonas
Confiança
1
0
W
H2H away: Amazonas
15.03.24
H2H
Maringá
Amazonas
0
1
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 3 4 21:15 6 27
W L W L W
2 15 7 5 3 28:15 13 26
W L D D L
3 15 8 1 6 21:16 5 25
W W W W W
4 15 7 4 4 18:17 1 25
L W W D L
5 15 7 3 5 15:11 4 24
L W W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:21 2 23
L W L L W
7 15 6 5 4 28:25 3 23
D W W D D
8 15 6 5 4 15:12 3 23
D W L L W
9 15 6 3 6 18:19 -1 21
W L W D W
10 15 5 6 4 14:12 2 21
L D W D D
11 15 5 6 4 16:15 1 21
D D D W L
12 15 6 2 7 15:20 -5 20
W L L L D
13 15 5 5 5 13:18 -5 20
W D L D D
14 15 5 4 6 16:17 -1 19
L L L D D
15 15 5 3 7 11:19 -8 18
L D L W L
16 15 4 6 5 11:14 -3 18
D W L D L
17 15 4 5 6 13:18 -5 17
D W W W L
18 15 3 6 6 17:17 0 15
L L W L D
19 15 3 3 9 13:19 -6 12
W L L D W
20 15 3 3 9 9:15 -6 12
D L L D W
Play-offs
Relegation