FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
02.05.2026 14:00
Wiklof Holding Arena
Referee: Antti Munukka, Finland
Mariehamn
Match Timeline
VPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
P. Lima
VPS
🔄
46'
A. Larsson ↔ A. Lundberg
Mariehamn
🔄
66'
L. Smyth ↔ J. Ali
VPS
🔄
68'
J. Heyden ↔ M. Hyvonen
Mariehamn
🔄
68'
N. Dosis ↔ T. Koivisto
Mariehamn
🔄
76'
A. Soiniemi ↔ S. Ngulube
Mariehamn
🔄
78'
K. Kouassivi-Benissan ↔ Y. Daoussi
VPS
🔄
78'
J. Muzinga ↔ O. Keturi
VPS
🔄
90'
S. Lindholm ↔ A. Kuek
VPS
🔄
90'
A. Raisanen ↔ J. Vahtera
VPS

Mariehamn vs VPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 31.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65%
-
BTTS BTTS No
31.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mariehamn Win 65%
Draw 9.8%
VPS Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mariehamn1
VPS1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mariehamn Mariehamn
WWDLW
8 GF / 13 GA
VPS VPS
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
2.25
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mariehamn Mariehamn 8 matches
VPS VPS 8 matches
Mariehamn Statistic VPS
1 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 3
8 Goals For 7
13 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
2.25 Shots On Goal 0.5
5.75 Total Shots 2.5
1.25 Corners 2.25
24.8% Ball Possession 20.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mariehamn won 4 times, VPS won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:27 from Mariehamn's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Mariehamn 4-3-1-2 / VPS 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Mariehamn wins 4, draws 3, VPS wins 8

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6
VPS Away
22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)