Mariehamn
Match Timeline
VPS
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
31.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Mariehamn Win 65%
Draw 9.8%
VPS Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mariehamn1
VPS1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mariehamn
WWDLW
8 GF / 13 GA
VPS
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
2.25
Shots on Goal
0.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mariehamn
8 matches
VPS
8 matches
| Mariehamn | Statistic | VPS |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 8 | Goals For | 7 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.25 | Shots On Goal | 0.5 |
| 5.75 | Total Shots | 2.5 |
| 1.25 | Corners | 2.25 |
| 24.8% | Ball Possession | 20.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mariehamn won 4 times, VPS won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:27 from Mariehamn's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Mariehamn 4-3-1-2 / VPS 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Mariehamn wins 4, draws 3, VPS wins 8
Lineups
Mariehamn
Formation
VPS
K. Lund
Y. Amankwah
P. Lindgren
N. Nurmi
A. Soiniemi
J. Heyden
N. Dosis
E. Patut
S. Dahlstrom
A. Larsson
A. Huttunen
M. Jalloh
L. Mane
E. Okereke
M. Niemi
K. Kouassivi-Benissan
A. Raisanen
P. Lima
J. Turfkruier
S. Lindholm
L. Smyth
J. Muzinga
Mariehamn
4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
K. Lund
G
38
Y. Amankwah
D
4
P. Lindgren
D
2
N. Nurmi
D
3
A. Soiniemi
D
↓ 76'
8
J. Heyden
M
↓ 68'
6
N. Dosis
M
↓ 68'
20
E. Patut
M
10
S. Dahlstrom
M
7
A. Larsson
F
↓ 46'
16
A. Huttunen
M
Substitutes
32
M. Riikonen
G
64
M. Hyvonen
F
↑ 68'
21
A. Lundberg
F
↑ 46'
43
L. Andersson
F
5
T. Koivisto
D
↑ 68'
31
S. Ngulube
D
↑ 76'
26
M. Jansson
M
17
R. Holmberg
M
VPS
3-4-1-2
Starting XI
41
M. Jalloh
G
2
L. Mane
D
6
E. Okereke
D
23
M. Niemi
D
27
K. Kouassivi-Benissan
M
↓ 78'
34
A. Raisanen
M
↓ 90'
8
P. Lima
M
⚽ 22'
7
J. Turfkruier
M
14
S. Lindholm
M
↓ 90'
15
L. Smyth
F
↓ 66'
11
J. Muzinga
F
↓ 78'
Substitutes
12
L. Vayrynen
G
10
J. Ali
F
↑ 66'
33
A. Kuek
↑ 90'
30
J. Vahtera
M
↑ 90'
24
Y. Daoussi
M
↑ 78'
5
V. Ronnberg
D
35
O. Keturi
F
↑ 78'
Last matches: Mariehamn
09.08.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Ilves
0
2
L
01.08.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Turku PS
0
3
L
25.07.26
Vei
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
1
1
D
20.07.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
2
L
11.07.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Gnistan
2
4
L
04.07.26
Vei
Mariehamn
VPS
0
4
L
27.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
0
2
L
23.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
0
4
L
18.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Gnistan
0
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
23.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
KuPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Lahti
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Ilves
2
2
D
10.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
SJK
0
3
L
04.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Turku PS
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Mariehamn
EIF
3
2
W
21.03.26
Fri
Mariehamn
Sandviken
1
1
D
Last matches: VPS
08.08.26
Vei
VPS
FF Jaro
3
1
W
02.08.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
1
L
25.07.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
3
L
18.07.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
1
2
L
10.07.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
1
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
4
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
5
1
W
17.06.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vei
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
22.05.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
2
1
W
18.05.26
Vei
VPS
Lahti
1
1
D
09.05.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
VPS
Ilves
3
2
W
18.04.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
10.04.26
Vei
VPS
FF Jaro
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
VPS
Haka
1
1
D
20.03.26
Fri
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
1
2
L
H2H: Mariehamn vs VPS
04.07.26
H2H
VPS
Mariehamn
4
0
L
02.05.26
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
0
1
L
21.09.25
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
2
1
W
01.08.25
H2H
VPS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
14.06.25
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
1
5
L
28.07.24
H2H
VPS
Mariehamn
2
1
L
12.06.24
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
0
0
D
03.09.23
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
1
2
L
05.05.23
H2H
VPS
Mariehamn
2
1
L
16.10.22
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
2
2
D
09.07.22
H2H
VPS
Mariehamn
1
3
W
29.05.22
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
1
3
L
19.08.19
H2H
VPS
Mariehamn
2
1
L
26.05.19
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
1
0
W
16.05.19
H2H
VPS
Mariehamn
1
3
W
Last matches: Mariehamn
25.07.26
Vei
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
1
1
D
20.07.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
0
2
L
23.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
0
4
L
13.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Gnistan
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Ilves
2
2
D
04.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Turku PS
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Mariehamn
EIF
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Mariehamn
Sleipner
1
1
D
H2H at home: Mariehamn
02.05.26
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
0
1
L
21.09.25
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
2
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
1
5
L
12.06.24
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
0
0
D
03.09.23
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
1
2
L
16.10.22
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
2
2
D
29.05.22
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
1
3
L
26.05.19
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
1
0
W
Last matches: VPS
08.08.26
Vei
VPS
FF Jaro
3
1
W
25.07.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
3
L
18.07.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
1
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
2
1
W
30.05.26
Vei
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
18.05.26
Vei
VPS
Lahti
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
0
D
14.03.26
Fri
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
H2H away: VPS
02.05.26
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
0
1
W
21.09.25
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
2
1
L
14.06.25
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
1
5
W
12.06.24
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
0
0
D
03.09.23
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
1
2
W
16.10.22
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
2
2
D
29.05.22
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
1
3
W
26.05.19
H2H
Mariehamn
VPS
1
0
L