Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
81.1%
|
1.46 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.44 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.63 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.50 |
Mariehamn
SJK
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mariehamn
23 matches
SJK
24 matches
| Mariehamn | Statistic | SJK |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 15 | Losses | 10 |
| 14 | Goals For | 30 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 0.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 2.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 1.47 | Shots On Goal | 1.63 |
| 4.53 | Total Shots | 4 |
| 2.32 | Corners | 1.74 |
| 25.8% | Ball Possession | 18.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SJK. SJK carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 18 points while Mariehamn sit 12 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mariehamn expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SJK in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SJK having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Mariehamn approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 5 points from 18 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 9:39, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through A. Huttunen (1 goals), S. Dahlström (1 goals), A. Larsson (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Amankwah (1 assists), A. Stroud (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
SJK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 18 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 24:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Mastokangas (1 goals), with creative support from J. Streng (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mariehamn won 4 times, SJK won 11 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:30 from Mariehamn's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Lineups
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
KuPS
SJK
VPS
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
Ilves
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
VPS
SJK
Lahti
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
AC Oulu
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
KuPS
SJK
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
KuPS
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sleipner
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
VPS
SJK
Ilves
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
Lahti
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
KuPS
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
KI Klaksvik
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 36:18 | 18 | 43 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 38 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
SJK
Away
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 15 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Home
|
20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11:41 | -30 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
L
|