Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Mariehamn Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lahti Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mariehamn0.81
Lahti1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mariehamn
WWDLW
11 GF / 35 GA
Lahti
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.61
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
8
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
7
1.29
Shots on Goal
1.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mariehamn
18 matches
Lahti
18 matches
| Mariehamn | Statistic | Lahti |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 6 |
| 11 | Goals For | 23 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 0.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 1.29 | Shots On Goal | 1.5 |
| 3.14 | Total Shots | 4.71 |
| 1.36 | Corners | 2.14 |
| 22.3% | Ball Possession | 27.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mariehamn won 4 times, Lahti won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from Mariehamn's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Mariehamn 4-4-1-1 / Lahti 4-3-3
H2H summary: Mariehamn wins 4, draws 5, Lahti wins 6
Last matches: Mariehamn
04.07.26
Vei
Mariehamn
VPS
0
4
L
27.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
0
2
L
23.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
0
4
L
18.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Gnistan
0
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
23.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
KuPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Lahti
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
VPS
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Ilves
2
2
D
10.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
SJK
0
3
L
04.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Turku PS
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Mariehamn
EIF
3
2
W
21.03.26
Fri
Mariehamn
Sandviken
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Mariehamn
KuPS
0
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
Mariehamn
Sleipner
1
1
D
Last matches: Lahti
04.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
1
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
0
0
D
17.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
0
1
L
13.06.26
Vei
Lahti
SJK
2
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
5
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
L
18.05.26
Vei
Lahti
VPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
04.05.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
10.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Lahti
JIPPO
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
3
1
W
25.02.26
Fri
Lahti
GrIFK
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Lahti
Haka
1
1
D
H2H: Mariehamn vs Lahti
26.05.26
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
1
L
10.05.26
H2H
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
05.03.26
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
4
0
W
19.09.24
H2H
Lahti
Mariehamn
2
1
L
18.08.24
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
0
D
12.05.24
H2H
Lahti
Mariehamn
3
0
L
23.02.24
H2H
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
08.10.23
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
0
D
23.07.23
H2H
Lahti
Mariehamn
0
2
W
16.04.23
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
2
3
L
19.02.23
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
2
L
18.09.22
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
6
0
W
26.08.22
H2H
Lahti
Mariehamn
0
2
W
02.04.22
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
0
D
27.10.21
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
3
L
Last matches: Mariehamn
27.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
0
2
L
23.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
0
4
L
13.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Gnistan
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
KuPS
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
VPS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Ilves
2
2
D
04.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Turku PS
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Mariehamn
EIF
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Mariehamn
Sleipner
1
1
D
H2H at home: Mariehamn
26.05.26
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
1
L
05.03.26
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
4
0
W
18.08.24
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
0
D
08.10.23
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
0
D
16.04.23
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
2
3
L
19.02.23
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
2
L
18.09.22
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
6
0
W
02.04.22
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
0
D
27.10.21
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
3
L
Last matches: Lahti
27.06.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
0
1
L
23.05.26
Vei
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
L
04.05.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
10.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
H2H away: Lahti
26.05.26
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
1
W
05.03.26
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
4
0
L
18.08.24
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
0
D
08.10.23
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
0
D
16.04.23
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
2
3
W
19.02.23
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
2
W
18.09.22
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
6
0
L
02.04.22
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
0
D
27.10.21
H2H
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
3
W
Standings
Veikkausliiga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 26 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 24 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 22 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 19 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 19 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 |
Lahti
Away
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Home
|
14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6:29 | -23 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
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Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)