Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
89.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-3 |
-
|
- |
Mariehamn
Lahti
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mariehamn
19 matches
Lahti
19 matches
| Mariehamn | Statistic | Lahti |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 12 | Losses | 6 |
| 13 | Goals For | 25 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 0.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 2.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 1.4 | Shots On Goal | 2.13 |
| 3.67 | Total Shots | 7.13 |
| 1.93 | Corners | 3.07 |
| 24.3% | Ball Possession | 33.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lahti's more proactive style and Mariehamn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Mariehamn have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Lahti carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 19 points while Mariehamn sit 12 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Lahti. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mariehamn expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Lahti in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lahti having the stronger overall control.
With 4 points from 15 games and a place of 12, Mariehamn still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 8:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Huttunen (1 goals), S. Dahlström (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Amankwah (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Lahti sit 8 with 19 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 18:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Martim Ferreira (1 goals), with creative support from Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mariehamn won 4 times, Lahti won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Mariehamn's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Mariehamn
1
9
0
4
2
3
Lineups
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Sleipner
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sleipner
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 31 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 28 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 28 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 27 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Lahti
Away
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:16 | 4 | 22 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 22 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 14 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Home
|
17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9:36 | -27 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
L
|