Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
77.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mariehamn
15 matches
Inter Turku
17 matches
| Mariehamn | Statistic | Inter Turku |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 3 |
| 11 | Goals For | 23 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 0.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 1.09 | Shots On Goal | 1.85 |
| 2.55 | Total Shots | 5.15 |
| 1.09 | Corners | 2.85 |
| 15.5% | Ball Possession | 26.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Inter Turku's more proactive style and Mariehamn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Inter Turku. Mariehamn have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mariehamn expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Inter Turku in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter Turku having the stronger overall control. Inter Turku carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 26 points while Mariehamn sit 12 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Mariehamn sit 12 with 4 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 6:19, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through S. Dahlstrom (2 goals), A. Huttunen (1 goals), A. Larsson (1 goals), with creative support from Emmanuel Patut (1 assists), Luke Pearce (1 assists), T. Koivisto (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Inter Turku arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 26 points after 13 matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 20:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Conteh (6 goals), J. Tuominen (3 goals), C. Jephta (2 goals), with creative support from C. Jephta (3 assists), Johannes Yli-Kokko (2 assists), L. Essomba (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mariehamn won 2 times, Inter Turku won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:24 from Mariehamn's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Sleipner
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
KuPS
Inter Turku
Turku PS
Inter Turku
Ilves
Inter Turku
SJK
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Lahti
Inter Turku
Ilves
Inter Turku
VPS
Inter Turku
Sirius
Inter Turku
ODD Ballklubb
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
PK-35
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sleipner
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
KuPS
Inter Turku
Ilves
Inter Turku
SJK
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Lahti
Inter Turku
Sirius
Inter Turku
ODD Ballklubb
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter Turku
Away
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 25 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 17 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:27 | -17 | 7 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Home
|
11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6:19 | -13 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|