Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
83.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- |
Mariehamn
Ilves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mariehamn
6 matches
Ilves
6 matches
| Mariehamn | Statistic | Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 6 | Goals For | 15 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 3.5 | Total Shots | 9.5 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 24.5% | Ball Possession | 42.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ilves. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mariehamn expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Ilves in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ilves having the stronger overall control.
Mariehamn are currently 10 in the standings with 1 points from 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 1:4 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Larsson (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Ilves have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 0 points from 2 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 2:5 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Riski (1 goals), T. Hytonen (1 goals), with creative support from J. Kilo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Mariehamn won 3 times, Ilves won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:24 from Mariehamn's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
Mariehamn
8
4
4
6
4
4
Lineups
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Sleipner
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
MP
Ilves
Haka
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sleipner
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 29:15 | 14 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 7 | 25 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Away
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 10 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 12 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Home
|
16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8:35 | -27 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|