SLOVENIA 1. SNL
06.09.2026 15:30
Ljudski vrt
Referee: A. Matkovic
Maribor
Match Timeline
Mura
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
I. Tshipamba · Assist: T. Cipot
Maribor
🟨
35'
K. Kurtovic
Mura
44'
N. Kasalo · Assist: K. Kurtovic
Mura
🔄
46'
Z. Petrovic ↔ F. Sana
Mura
🟨
50'
B. Mbondo
Maribor
🟨
54'
T. Cipot
Maribor
🟥
55'
A. Zalaznik
Mura
🔄
61'
N. Viher ↔ N. Osterc
Maribor
🔄
61'
Z. Repas ↔ J. Mlakar
Maribor
🟨
64'
N. Kouter
Mura
🔄
73'
Z. Jevsenak ↔ J. Seri
Maribor
🔄
73'
V. Koderman ↔ B. Feta
Maribor
🔄
73'
N. Kasalo ↔ S. Butic
Mura
🔄
79'
K. Kurtovic ↔ R. Caks
Mura
🔄
82'
L. Zahovic ↔ D. Vizinger
Maribor
🟨
90'
Z. Karnicnik
Maribor
🔄
90+1'
A. Korosec ↔ I. Jelic
Mura

Maribor vs Mura Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.8%
1.44
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.58
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.19
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Maribor Win 74.8%
Draw 4.9%
Mura Win 20.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maribor1.87
Mura1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maribor Maribor
WWDLW
21 GF / 15 GA
Mura Mura
WLDWL
18 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
2.06
9
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maribor Maribor 12 matches
Mura Mura 16 matches
Maribor Statistic Mura
4 Wins 3
6 Draws 5
2 Losses 8
21 Goals For 18
15 Goals Against 33
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2.06
9 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Maribor's more proactive style and Mura's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mura having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Mura. Maribor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 12 points compared to Mura in 8 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Mura arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Maribor Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 12 points from 6 games, Maribor bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 10:3, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Mura Analysis

Mura approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 7 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 8:14 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Maribor won 11 times, Mura won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:10 from Maribor's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Maribor - / Mura 3-4-3
H2H summary: Maribor wins 11, draws 2, Mura wins 2

Standings

1. SNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 19:8 11 20
D W D W W
2 10 5 3 2 11:8 3 18
W L W W W
3 10 5 3 2 12:10 2 18
W W D W L
4 10 4 2 4 10:8 2 14
L W W D W
5 10 3 4 3 16:11 5 13
D W D L L
6 10 4 1 5 17:16 1 13
L W W L L
7 9 3 3 3 11:11 0 12
D L L W L
8 10 3 2 5 14:18 -4 11
W L L W L
9
Mura Away
10 2 3 5 10:21 -11 9
D L D L L
10 9 1 2 6 9:18 -9 5
L L L D L
Qualifying
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation