TURKEY 1. LIG
20.09.2026 17:00
Referee: R. Coskunses

Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.04
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.3%
2.69
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.04
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Mardin 1969 Win 36.7%
Draw 13%
Kayserispor Win 50.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mardin 19690.96
Kayserispor1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mardin 1969 Mardin 1969
WWDLW
9 GF / 5 GA
Kayserispor Kayserispor
WLDWL
18 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.8
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
2
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mardin 1969 Mardin 1969 8 matches
Kayserispor Kayserispor 10 matches
Mardin 1969 Statistic Kayserispor
3 Wins 6
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
9 Goals For 18
5 Goals Against 7
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
2 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 4.14
13.43 Total Shots 13.71
5.86 Corners 5
46.3% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Kayserispor. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Mardin 1969 Analysis

Mardin 1969 approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 12 points after 6 outings. The return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 9:3, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through O. Kayode (3 goals), T. Teklić (2 goals), Z. Dimitrov (1 goals), with creative support from O. Kayode (1 assists), Z. Dimitrov (1 assists), B. Balat (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Kayserispor Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 13 points from 6 games, Kayserispor bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 10:3, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by T. Seferi (5 goals), D. Moreno (2 goals), B. Keser (1 goals), with creative support from G. Sağlam (3 assists), B. Keser (1 assists), J. Tabidze (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: Mardin 1969 4-1-4-1 / Kayserispor 4-1-4-1

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
2 7 5 1 1 14:3 11 16
W W D L W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 7 3 3 1 9:4 5 12
L W D D W
8 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
9 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
10 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
11 7 2 3 2 12:11 1 9
D L L D D
12 7 3 0 4 11:13 -2 9
W L W L L
13 7 2 3 2 9:12 -3 9
D W L D W
14 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
15 7 1 4 2 6:5 1 7
W L D D D
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 7 1 3 3 8:14 -6 6
D D L D W
18 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
19 7 0 2 5 6:19 -13 2
L L L D L
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation