BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Marcílio Dias
Match Timeline
Sao Jose
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
42'
Manoel
Marcílio Dias
45'
Cesinha
Marcílio Dias
73'
Gustavo Bagatini
Sao Jose

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
51.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77%
-
Probability Distribution
Marcílio Dias Win 31.3%
Draw 18.3%
Sao Jose Win 50.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marcílio Dias0.8
Sao Jose0
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias
WWDLW
0 GF / 0 GA
Sao Jose Sao Jose
WLDWL
0 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0
Average Goals Scored
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
2
0
BTTS Yes
0
0
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias 2 matches
Sao Jose Sao Jose 2 matches
Marcílio Dias Statistic Sao Jose
0 Wins 0
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
0 Goals For 0
0 Goals Against 4
0 Avg Goals Scored 0
0 Avg Goals Conceded 2
0 BTTS Yes 0
0 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sao Jose having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sao Jose. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Marcílio Dias arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 2 points compared to Sao Jose in 6 on 0, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Marcílio Dias Analysis

Marcílio Dias arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 2 points after 2 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 0:0 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sao Jose Analysis

So far, Sao Jose have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 0 points from 2 matches. The record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 0:4 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Marcílio Dias won 1 times, Sao Jose won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Marcílio Dias's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.7%)
H2H summary: Marcílio Dias wins 1, draws 3, Sao Jose wins 0
Last matches: Marcílio Dias
11.07.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
1
1
D
28.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
2
D
07.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
01.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
4
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
27.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Guarany de Bagé
1
1
D
14.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Barra
1
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Joinville
1
1
D
29.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
1
1
D
Last matches: Sao Jose
18.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Treze
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
0
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
2
L
02.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Joinville
2
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
H2H: Marcílio Dias vs Sao Jose
24.05.26
H2H
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
18.04.26
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
2
1
W
27.07.25
H2H
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
19.04.25
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
0
0
D
Last matches: Marcílio Dias
04.07.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
1
1
D
28.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
1
W
01.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
4
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
03.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
20.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Guarany de Bagé
1
1
D
14.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Barra
1
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
2
L
02.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
São Luiz
3
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Joinville
1
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
0
0
D
H2H at home: Marcílio Dias
18.04.26
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
2
1
W
19.04.25
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
0
0
D
Last matches: Sao Jose
12.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
27.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
02.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Joinville
2
0
W
30.06.25
Ser
Sao Jose
São Luiz
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
3
1
W
24.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Barra
1
1
D
11.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
03.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
3
1
W
19.04.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
H2H away: Sao Jose
18.04.26
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
2
1
L
19.04.25
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
0
0
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)