BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Marcílio Dias
Match Timeline
Brasil DE Pelotas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
Davi Torres
Marcílio Dias
8'
Robinho
Marcílio Dias
48'
Manoel
Marcílio Dias
54'
Gabriel Morbeck
Brasil DE Pelotas
85'
Gabriel Lyra
Marcílio Dias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Marcílio Dias Win 42.1%
Draw 32.8%
Brasil DE Pelotas Win 25.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marcílio Dias0.76
Brasil DE Pelotas0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias
WWDLW
3 GF / 2 GA
Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil DE Pelotas
WLDWL
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias 5 matches
Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil DE Pelotas 5 matches
Marcílio Dias Statistic Brasil DE Pelotas
2 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
3 Goals For 6
2 Goals Against 5
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Brasil DE Pelotas. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brasil DE Pelotas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Marcílio Dias Analysis

Marcílio Dias come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 8 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 3:2 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Cesinha (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Brasil DE Pelotas Analysis

Brasil DE Pelotas arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 7 points after 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 6:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Iury Tanque (2 goals), Alan Bald (1 goals), Denis Germano (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Marcílio Dias won 3 times, Brasil DE Pelotas won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:4 from Marcílio Dias's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.9%)
H2H summary: Marcílio Dias wins 3, draws 0, Brasil DE Pelotas wins 1
Last matches: Marcílio Dias
11.07.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
1
1
D
28.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
2
D
07.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
01.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
27.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Guarany de Bagé
1
1
D
14.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Barra
1
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Joinville
1
1
D
29.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
1
1
D
Last matches: Brasil DE Pelotas
07.06.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Blumenau
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Blumenau
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
2
1
W
27.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Barra
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
4
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
1
L
06.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
São Luiz
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Joinville
1
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Joinville
0
1
L
25.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
10.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
São Luiz
0
1
L
H2H: Marcílio Dias vs Brasil DE Pelotas
09.05.26
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
4
1
W
02.05.26
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
0
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
2
L
25.05.25
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
1
2
W
Last matches: Marcílio Dias
04.07.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
1
1
D
28.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
1
W
01.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
03.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
20.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Guarany de Bagé
1
1
D
14.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Barra
1
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
2
L
02.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
São Luiz
3
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Joinville
1
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
0
0
D
H2H at home: Marcílio Dias
09.05.26
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
4
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
2
L
Last matches: Brasil DE Pelotas
07.06.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Blumenau
2
3
L
27.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Barra
1
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
2
1
W
01.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Joinville
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
São Luiz
0
1
L
26.04.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
0
1
L
H2H away: Brasil DE Pelotas
09.05.26
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
4
1
L
14.06.25
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
2
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)