BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. Ferreira
Maranhão
Match Timeline
Botafogo PB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Andre Radija
Maranhão
32'
R. Bastos
Botafogo PB
🟨
35'
Diogo Mateus
Botafogo PB
🟨
36'
Mauricio
Maranhão
45'
Vagalume
Maranhão
🔄
46'
Thallyson ↔ Caio Garcia
Botafogo PB
🔄
46'
Giovanni ↔ Gabriel Tota
Botafogo PB
🟨
52'
Gabriel Tota
Botafogo PB
🟨
55'
Lucao
Maranhão
62'
Rosivan
Maranhão
🔄
69'
R. Bastos ↔ Dudu Hatamoto
Botafogo PB
🔄
69'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Gustavo
Botafogo PB
🔄
73'
Felipe Cruz ↔ Joelson
Maranhão
🔄
73'
Will ↔ Rafael Teixeira
Maranhão
🟨
74'
Joelson
Maranhão
🔄
79'
Andre Radija ↔ Lucas Santos
Maranhão
🔄
79'
Luis Gustavo ↔ Pimentinha
Maranhão
🔄
80'
Felipe Azevedo ↔ Gustavo Santos
Botafogo PB
🟨
82'
Octavio
Botafogo PB
🔄
85'
Rosivan ↔ Rodrigo
Maranhão
🟨
87'
Bull
Botafogo PB
🟨
89'
Gustavo Santos
Botafogo PB
🟨
90+2'
Botafogo PB
Botafogo PB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maranhão Win 67%
Draw 8.3%
Botafogo PB Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maranhão1.2
Botafogo PB1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maranhão Maranhão
WWDLW
5 GF / 8 GA
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WLDWL
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maranhão Maranhão 5 matches
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 6 matches
Maranhão Statistic Botafogo PB
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 3
5 Goals For 10
8 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Botafogo PB arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Botafogo PB. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Botafogo PB having the stronger overall control.

Maranhão Analysis

Maranhão are currently 12 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 5:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Felipe Cruz (2 goals), Vander (2 goals), Luis Gustavo (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Botafogo PB sit 13 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:8 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Nene (3 goals), Felipe Azevedo (1 goals), Giovanni (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Maranhão won 1 times, Botafogo PB won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Maranhão's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
H2H summary: Maranhão wins 1, draws 0, Botafogo PB wins 1

Lineups

Maranhão
Formation
Botafogo PB
Jean
Jean
Mauricio
Mauricio
Lucao
Lucao
Keven
Keven
Andre Radija
Andre Radija
Vander
Vander
Rosivan
Rosivan
Vagalume
Vagalume
Will
Will
Felipe Cruz
Felipe Cruz
Luis Gustavo
Luis Gustavo
Max Walef
Max Walef
Diogo Mateus
Diogo Mateus
Octavio
Octavio
Saimon
Saimon
Bull
Bull
Dudu Nardini
Dudu Nardini
Thallyson
Thallyson
Giovanni
Giovanni
Felipe Azevedo
Felipe Azevedo
Henrique Dourado
Henrique Dourado
R. Bastos
R. Bastos
Maranhão 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Jean
25
Mauricio
🟨 36'
4
Lucao
🟨 55'
18
Keven
16
Andre Radija
⚽ 10' ↓ 79'
8
Vander
15
Rosivan
⚽ 62' ↓ 85'
20
Vagalume
⚽ 45'
17
Will
↓ 73'
29
Felipe Cruz
↓ 73'
26
Luis Gustavo
↓ 79'
Substitutes
12
Vitao
2
Ball
3
Edson Fernando
5
Railson
6
Lucas Santos
↑ 79'
7
Felipe Sales
9
Joelson
↑ 73' 🟨 74'
10
Jorge Rocha
11
Pimentinha
↑ 79'
14
Tiburcio
19
Rafael Teixeira
↑ 73'
22
Rodrigo
↑ 85'
Botafogo PB 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
23
Max Walef
2
Diogo Mateus
🟨 35'
35
Octavio
🟨 82'
4
Saimon
16
Bull
🟨 87'
22
Dudu Nardini
20
Thallyson
↓ 46'
18
Giovanni
↓ 46'
11
Felipe Azevedo
↓ 80'
9
Henrique Dourado
↓ 69'
77
R. Bastos
⚽ 32' ↓ 69'
Substitutes
27
Luiz Daniel
7
Dudu Hatamoto
↑ 69'
12
Erick
14
Igor Morais
17
Lucas Sena
30
Gustavo Santos
↑ 80' 🟨 89'
25
Caio Garcia
↑ 46'
29
Anderson Chaves
31
Gustavo
↑ 69'
37
Ed Carlos
39
Lawan
88
Gabriel Tota
↑ 46' 🟨 52'
Last matches: Maranhão
12.07.26
Ser
Maranhão
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Maranhão
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Ituano
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Paysandu
0
1
L
15.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Maringá
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Anápolis
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Caxias
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Confiança
1
2
L
04.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Floresta
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Volta Redonda
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Amazonas
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Barra
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
20.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
14.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
06.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
ASA
3
0
W
30.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
ASA
1
0
W
24.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Central SC
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Central SC
2
1
W
10.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
Last matches: Botafogo PB
12.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Anápolis
2
0
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Brusque
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
H2H: Maranhão vs Botafogo PB
09.05.26
H2H
Maranhão
Botafogo PB
3
1
W
04.01.25
H2H
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
0
L
Last matches: Maranhão
12.07.26
Ser
Maranhão
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Maranhão
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Paysandu
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Caxias
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Volta Redonda
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
14.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
ASA
1
0
W
16.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Central SC
2
1
W
02.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Tuna Luso
4
1
W
19.07.25
Ser
Maranhão
Maracanã
3
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Maranhão
Sampaio Correa
2
0
W
08.06.25
Ser
Maranhão
Iguatu
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
Maranhão
Parnahyba
1
1
D
10.05.25
Ser
Maranhão
Tocantinópolis
2
3
L
03.05.25
Ser
Maranhão
Imperatriz
3
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Maranhão
Altos
1
1
D
H2H at home: Maranhão
09.05.26
H2H
Maranhão
Botafogo PB
3
1
W
Last matches: Botafogo PB
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Anápolis
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
H2H away: Botafogo PB
09.05.26
H2H
Maranhão
Botafogo PB
3
1
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation