BRAZIL › SERIE C
09.05.2026 21:00
Referee: J. Ferreira
Maranhão
Match Timeline
Botafogo PB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
Andre Radija
Maranhão
⚽
32'
R. Bastos
Botafogo PB
🟨
35'
Diogo Mateus
Botafogo PB
🟨
36'
Mauricio
Maranhão
⚽
45'
Vagalume
Maranhão
🔄
46'
Thallyson ↔ Caio Garcia
Botafogo PB
🔄
46'
Giovanni ↔ Gabriel Tota
Botafogo PB
🟨
52'
Gabriel Tota
Botafogo PB
🟨
55'
Lucao
Maranhão
⚽
62'
Rosivan
Maranhão
🔄
69'
R. Bastos ↔ Dudu Hatamoto
Botafogo PB
🔄
69'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Gustavo
Botafogo PB
🔄
73'
Felipe Cruz ↔ Joelson
Maranhão
🔄
73'
Will ↔ Rafael Teixeira
Maranhão
🟨
74'
Joelson
Maranhão
🔄
79'
Andre Radija ↔ Lucas Santos
Maranhão
🔄
79'
Luis Gustavo ↔ Pimentinha
Maranhão
🔄
80'
Felipe Azevedo ↔ Gustavo Santos
Botafogo PB
🟨
82'
Octavio
Botafogo PB
🔄
85'
Rosivan ↔ Rodrigo
Maranhão
🟨
87'
Bull
Botafogo PB
🟨
89'
Gustavo Santos
Botafogo PB
🟨
90+2'
Botafogo PB
Botafogo PB

Maranhão vs Botafogo PB Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Maranhão Win 67%
Draw 8.3%
Botafogo PB Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maranhão1.2
Botafogo PB1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maranhão Maranhão
WWDLW
5 GF / 8 GA
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WLDWL
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maranhão Maranhão 5 matches
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 6 matches
Maranhão Statistic Botafogo PB
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 3
5 Goals For 10
8 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Botafogo PB arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Botafogo PB. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Botafogo PB having the stronger overall control.

Maranhão Analysis

Maranhão are currently 12 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 5:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Felipe Cruz (2 goals), Vander (2 goals), Luis Gustavo (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Botafogo PB sit 13 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:8 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Nene (3 goals), Felipe Azevedo (1 goals), Giovanni (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Maranhão won 1 times, Botafogo PB won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Maranhão's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
H2H summary: Maranhão wins 1, draws 0, Botafogo PB wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
D L L L W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
L D W D D
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W W D W L
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
D W L W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D L W L W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W D D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L D L L L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W W W D
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation