BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Maracanã
Match Timeline
Parnahyba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
68'
Lincoln
Maracanã

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 85%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
85%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Maracanã Win 77.4%
Draw 0%
Parnahyba Win 22.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maracanã1.8
Parnahyba0.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maracanã Maracanã
WWDLW
4 GF / 2 GA
Parnahyba Parnahyba
WLDWL
1 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maracanã Maracanã 2 matches
Parnahyba Parnahyba 2 matches
Maracanã Statistic Parnahyba
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
4 Goals For 1
2 Goals Against 3
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
1 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Maracanã's more proactive style and Parnahyba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Parnahyba. Maracanã arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 4 points compared to Parnahyba in 6 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Parnahyba having the stronger overall control.

Maracanã Analysis

Placed 1 with 4 points from 2 outings, Maracanã continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 4:2 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alison (1 goals), Luis Soares (1 goals), Marcos Vinicius (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Parnahyba Analysis

Parnahyba are currently 6 in the standings with 1 points from 2 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 1:3 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Amilton (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Maracanã won 3 times, Parnahyba won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Maracanã's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Maracanã wins 3, draws 0, Parnahyba wins 1
Last matches: Maracanã
27.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
2
D
26.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Maranhão
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Altos
1
3
L
29.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
2
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
0
0
D
25.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
Last matches: Parnahyba
27.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Águia de Marabá
0
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
IAPE
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
IAPE
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Imperatriz
2
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
2
2
D
12.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Altos
2
4
L
06.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
2
0
W
29.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
1
2
L
15.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maranhão
2
2
D
07.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Tocantinópolis
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maranhão
1
1
D
H2H: Maracanã vs Parnahyba
24.05.26
H2H
Parnahyba
Maracanã
0
1
W
18.04.26
H2H
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
29.06.25
H2H
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
1
W
18.05.25
H2H
Parnahyba
Maracanã
3
2
L
Last matches: Maracanã
27.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Altos
1
3
L
29.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
2
3
L
25.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
04.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Maracanã
Maranhão
0
0
D
H2H at home: Maracanã
18.04.26
H2H
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
29.06.25
H2H
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
1
W
Last matches: Parnahyba
27.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Águia de Marabá
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
IAPE
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Imperatriz
2
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Altos
2
4
L
29.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Tocantinópolis
0
0
D
24.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maranhão
1
1
D
10.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
0
3
L
26.04.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
0
1
L
H2H away: Parnahyba
18.04.26
H2H
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
L
29.06.25
H2H
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
1
L