BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maracanã Win 66.7%
Draw 5.4%
Imperatriz Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maracanã1.11
Imperatriz1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maracanã Maracanã
WWDLW
13 GF / 7 GA
Imperatriz Imperatriz
WLDWL
16 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.45
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maracanã Maracanã 11 matches
Imperatriz Imperatriz 11 matches
Maracanã Statistic Imperatriz
5 Wins 4
5 Draws 4
1 Losses 3
13 Goals For 16
7 Goals Against 11
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Imperatriz. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Imperatriz having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Maracanã Analysis

Maracanã come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 19 points from 10 matches. The return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 12:6 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking influence is driven by Vinicius Caninde (3 goals), Alison (2 goals), Luis Soares (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Imperatriz Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Imperatriz arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 15 points after 10 matches. The return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 15:10 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Ivan (4 goals), Fidel (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Maracanã won 0 times, Imperatriz won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Maracanã's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: Maracanã wins 0, draws 1, Imperatriz wins 1
Last matches: Maracanã
20.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
2
D
26.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Maranhão
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Altos
1
3
L
29.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
2
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
0
0
D
25.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
Last matches: Imperatriz
20.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
4
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
24.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
0
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Parnahyba
3
2
W
19.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Iguatu
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maranhão
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Sampaio Correa
0
3
L
28.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
4
0
W
H2H: Maracanã vs Imperatriz
08.06.25
H2H
Maracanã
Imperatriz
2
3
L
31.05.25
H2H
Imperatriz
Maracanã
0
0
D
Last matches: Maracanã
07.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Altos
1
3
L
29.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
2
3
L
25.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
04.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Maracanã
Maranhão
0
0
D
H2H at home: Maracanã
08.06.25
H2H
Maracanã
Imperatriz
2
3
L
Last matches: Imperatriz
31.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
0
2
L
04.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
24.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
0
D
03.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
2
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Iguatu
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Sampaio Correa
0
3
L
08.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
3
2
W
24.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Altos
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
2
1
W
03.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maranhão
0
3
L
20.04.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Parnahyba
0
0
D
H2H away: Imperatriz
08.06.25
H2H
Maracanã
Imperatriz
2
3
W

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)