ITALY SERIE B
13.09.2026 15:15
Stadio Danilo Martelli
Mantova
Match Timeline
Sampdoria
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Fahem Benaissa Yahia
Mantova
🟨
28'
Lorenzo Insigne
Sampdoria
🟨
43'
Francesco Modesto
Mantova
🟨
44'
Liam Henderson
Sampdoria
🔄
45'
Tjas Begic ↔ Oliver Abildgaard
Sampdoria
🔄
55'
Ettore Gliozzi ↔ Vanja Vlahovic
Mantova
🔄
55'
Lorenzo Ignacchiti ↔ Jean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo
Mantova
🔄
57'
Gennaro Tutino ↔ Tobias Lauritsen
Sampdoria
58'
Francesco Ruocco · Assist: Alessio Castellini
Mantova
64'
Tobias Lauritsen
Sampdoria
66'
Jean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo · Assist: Rares Ilie
Mantova
🔄
72'
Rares Ilie ↔ Davide Bragantini
Mantova
🔄
72'
Francesco Ruocco ↔ Ismael Cajazzo
Mantova
🔄
72'
Liam Henderson ↔ Yann Karamoh
Sampdoria
🔄
72'
Lorenzo Insigne ↔ Danel Sinani
Sampdoria

Mantova vs Sampdoria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.5%
Odds 2.35
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.11
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.5%
2.35
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.11
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.1%
1.38
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Mantova Win 75.5%
Draw 3.9%
Sampdoria Win 20.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mantova2.23
Sampdoria1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mantova Mantova
WWDLW
26 GF / 12 GA
Sampdoria Sampdoria
WLDWL
8 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.89
Average Goals Scored
1
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
6
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
3
6.4
Shots on Goal
5.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mantova Mantova 9 matches
Sampdoria Sampdoria 8 matches
Mantova Statistic Sampdoria
6 Wins 2
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
26 Goals For 8
12 Goals Against 10
2.89 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
6 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 2
6.4 Shots On Goal 5.75
12.2 Total Shots 14.5
3 Corners 5.75
43.4% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Mantova won 2 times, Sampdoria won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Mantova's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Mantova 3-4-2-1 / Sampdoria 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Mantova wins 2, draws 1, Sampdoria wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 8:3 5 10
W D W W
2 4 3 1 0 8:4 4 10
D W W W
3 4 2 2 0 5:2 3 8
D W D W
4 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D W W L
5 4 2 1 1 4:4 0 7
W L D W
6 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D L W W
7 4 2 1 1 4:3 1 7
L W D W
8 4 1 3 0 6:5 1 6
D D W D
9 4 2 0 2 6:6 0 6
L W W L
10 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
L W L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:9 -4 6
W L L W
12 4 1 2 1 6:8 -2 5
D D L W
13 4 1 1 2 5:5 0 4
W L D L
14 4 1 1 2 7:6 1 4
W D L L
15 4 1 1 2 5:7 -2 4
D W L L
16 4 1 1 2 8:6 2 4
L W D L
17 4 1 0 3 4:7 -3 3
W L L L
18 4 1 1 2 3:6 -3 2
D L W L
19 4 0 1 3 2:5 -3 1
L L D L
20 4 0 1 3 3:8 -5 1
L L L D
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation