Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
57.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
46.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
38.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Mantova
Monza
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mantova
37 matches
Monza
37 matches
| Mantova | Statistic | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 22 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 18 | Losses | 6 |
| 42 | Goals For | 57 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.54 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.62 | Shots On Goal | 4.57 |
| 13.78 | Total Shots | 14.03 |
| 4.81 | Corners | 5.51 |
| 57.2% | Ball Possession | 53.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Monza's more proactive style and Mantova's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Monza. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Monza carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 75 points while Mantova sit 11 on 43, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Mantova sit 11 with 43 points after 36 league matches. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, together with a 42:50 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Ruocco (7 goals), L. Mancuso (7 goals), T. Marras (7 goals), with creative support from Simone Trimboli (5 assists), Nicolò Radaelli (4 assists), Federico Artioli (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Monza approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 75 points after 36 outings. They have recorded 22 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with a 57:27 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on A. Petagna (8 goals), Hernani (5 goals), Matteo Pessina (5 goals), with creative support from P. Azzi (6 assists), A. Izzo (4 assists), Patrick Ciurria (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Mantova won 1 times, Monza won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Mantova's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Mantova
7
10
9
9
2
4
Lineups
Mantova
Athletic Carpi
Mantova
Legnago Salus
Mantova
Alcione
Mantova
Ambrosiana
Mantova
Frosinone
Mantova
Sudtirol
Mantova
Avellino
Mantova
Spezia
Mantova
Virtus Entella
Mantova
Modena
Mantova
Cesena
Mantova
Empoli
Mantova
Juve Stabia
Mantova
Palermo
Mantova
Carrarese
Mantova
Sampdoria
Mantova
Catanzaro
Mantova
Reggiana
Mantova
Bari
Mantova
Pescara
Monza
Padova
Monza
Aris Thessalonikis
Monza
Galatasaray
Monza
PRO Vercelli
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Empoli
Monza
Modena
Monza
Sampdoria
Monza
Bari
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Venezia
Monza
Reggiana
Monza
Palermo
Monza
Spezia
Monza
Cesena
Monza
Virtus Entella
Monza
Carrarese
Mantova
Athletic Carpi
Mantova
Alcione
Mantova
Ambrosiana
Mantova
Avellino
Mantova
Virtus Entella
Mantova
Cesena
Mantova
Juve Stabia
Mantova
Carrarese
Mantova
Sampdoria
Mantova
Bari
Mantova
Venezia
Mantova
Palermo
Mantova
Empoli
Mantova
Reggiana
Mantova
Spezia
Mantova
Padova
Mantova
Catanzaro
Mantova
Sudtirol
Mantova
Frosinone
Mantova
Modena
Monza
Galatasaray
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Sampdoria
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Reggiana
Monza
Spezia
Monza
Cesena
Monza
Carrarese
Monza
Sudtirol
Monza
Padova
Monza
Virtus Entella
Monza
Modena
Monza
Venezia
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Pescara
Monza
Palermo
Monza
Frosinone
Monza
Empoli
Monza
Avellino
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Monza
Away
|
38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Mantova
Home
|
38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|