ITALY SERIE B
30.08.2026 17:00
Stadio Danilo Martelli
Referee: A. Colombo
Mantova
Match Timeline
Empoli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Gerard Yepes
Empoli
🟨
42'
Alessio Castellini
Mantova
🟨
49'
Karim Zedadka
Empoli
🟨
51'
Francesco Bardi
Mantova
51'
E. Saporiti · Assist: M. Egan
Empoli
🔄
55'
E. Gliozzi ↔ V. Vlahovic
Mantova
🔄
55'
K. Zedadka ↔ L. Belardinelli
Empoli
🔄
56'
L. Ignacchiti ↔ R. Kouda
Mantova
🔄
56'
R. Ilie ↔ I. Cajazzo
Mantova
🟨
57'
Marco Curto
Empoli
58'
F. Ruocco · Assist: A. Castellini
Mantova
61'
V. Vlahovic · Assist: S. Cella
Mantova
🔄
72'
G. Yepes ↔ L. Deli
Empoli
🔄
72'
F. Di Stefano ↔ B. Popov
Empoli
🟨
74'
Luca Belardinelli
Empoli
🔄
78'
F. Ruocco ↔ J. Longonda
Mantova
🔄
83'
B. Tomasevic ↔ E. Kospo
Mantova
🟨
86'
Lapo Deli
Empoli
🔄
86'
N. Corrado ↔ R. Berizzi
Empoli
🔄
86'
E. Saporiti ↔ A. Orlandi
Empoli
🟨
90+3'
Luca Magnino
Empoli
90'
F. Benaissa-Yahia · Assist: V. Vlahovic
Mantova

Mantova vs Empoli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.8%
Odds 2.03
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.18
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.8%
2.03
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
2.18
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.5%
1.26
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Mantova Win 72.8%
Draw 6%
Empoli Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mantova2.24
Empoli0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mantova Mantova
WWDLW
20 GF / 5 GA
Empoli Empoli
WLDWL
5 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
3.33
Average Goals Scored
1
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
3
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
0
5.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mantova Mantova 6 matches
Empoli Empoli 5 matches
Mantova Statistic Empoli
5 Wins 2
0 Draws 3
1 Losses 0
20 Goals For 5
5 Goals Against 3
3.33 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
3 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 0
3 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
5.5 Shots On Goal 4
12 Total Shots 9
3 Corners 3
41% Ball Possession 33%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Mantova won 0 times, Empoli won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Mantova's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Mantova 3-4-2-1 / Empoli 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Mantova wins 0, draws 1, Empoli wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 8:3 5 10
W D W W
2 4 3 1 0 8:4 4 10
D W W W
3 4 2 2 0 5:2 3 8
D W D W
4 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D W W L
5 4 2 1 1 4:4 0 7
W L D W
6 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D L W W
7 4 2 1 1 4:3 1 7
L W D W
8 4 1 3 0 6:5 1 6
D D W D
9 4 2 0 2 6:6 0 6
L W W L
10 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
L W L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:9 -4 6
W L L W
12 4 1 2 1 6:8 -2 5
D D L W
13 4 1 1 2 5:5 0 4
W L D L
14 4 1 1 2 7:6 1 4
W D L L
15 4 1 1 2 5:7 -2 4
D W L L
16 4 1 1 2 8:6 2 4
L W D L
17 4 1 0 3 4:7 -3 3
W L L L
18 4 1 1 2 3:6 -3 2
D L W L
19 4 0 1 3 2:5 -3 1
L L D L
20 4 0 1 3 3:8 -5 1
L L L D
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation