Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- |
Mantova
Avellino
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mantova
35 matches
Avellino
35 matches
| Mantova | Statistic | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 17 | Losses | 15 |
| 39 | Goals For | 38 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.66 | Shots On Goal | 3.2 |
| 13.91 | Total Shots | 9.46 |
| 4.74 | Corners | 4.11 |
| 57% | Ball Possession | 48.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Avellino. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mantova expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Avellino in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avellino having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Mantova sit 11 with 40 points after 34 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 39:48 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Ruocco (7 goals), L. Mancuso (7 goals), D. Bragantini (6 goals), with creative support from Simone Trimboli (5 assists), Nicolò Radaelli (4 assists), Federico Artioli (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 34 matches, Avellino have collected 40 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 38:54 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tommaso Biasci (12 goals), Lorenco Šimić (4 goals), R. Russo (4 goals), with creative support from D. Sounas (4 assists), Tommaso Biasci (3 assists), R. Russo (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Mantova won 0 times, Avellino won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Mantova's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Mantova
3
3
3
2
6
1
Lineups
Mantova
Athletic Carpi
Mantova
Legnago Salus
Mantova
Alcione
Mantova
Ambrosiana
Mantova
Frosinone
Mantova
Monza
Mantova
Sudtirol
Mantova
Spezia
Mantova
Virtus Entella
Mantova
Modena
Mantova
Cesena
Mantova
Empoli
Mantova
Juve Stabia
Mantova
Palermo
Mantova
Carrarese
Mantova
Sampdoria
Mantova
Catanzaro
Mantova
Reggiana
Mantova
Bari
Mantova
Pescara
Avellino
Torino
Avellino
Lazio
Avellino
Sambenedettese
Avellino
Scafatese
Avellino
Catanzaro
Avellino
Modena
Avellino
Empoli
Avellino
Bari
Avellino
Catanzaro
Avellino
Palermo
Avellino
Sampdoria
Avellino
Sudtirol
Avellino
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Padova
Avellino
Venezia
Avellino
Juve Stabia
Avellino
Reggiana
Avellino
Pescara
Avellino
Frosinone
Avellino
Monza
Mantova
Athletic Carpi
Mantova
Alcione
Mantova
Ambrosiana
Mantova
Monza
Mantova
Virtus Entella
Mantova
Cesena
Mantova
Juve Stabia
Mantova
Carrarese
Mantova
Sampdoria
Mantova
Bari
Mantova
Venezia
Mantova
Palermo
Mantova
Empoli
Mantova
Reggiana
Mantova
Spezia
Mantova
Padova
Mantova
Catanzaro
Mantova
Sudtirol
Mantova
Frosinone
Mantova
Modena
Avellino
Lazio
Avellino
Sambenedettese
Avellino
Catanzaro
Avellino
Empoli
Avellino
Palermo
Avellino
Sampdoria
Avellino
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Venezia
Avellino
Reggiana
Avellino
Monza
Avellino
Spezia
Avellino
Bari
Avellino
Catanzaro
Avellino
Sudtirol
Avellino
Cesena
Avellino
Pescara
Avellino
Juve Stabia
Avellino
Padova
Avellino
Carrarese
Avellino
Modena
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Avellino
Away
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 |
Mantova
Home
|
38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|