ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jocay
Referee: Robert Cabrera, Ecuador
Manta FC
Match Timeline
Universidad Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
O. Moscarelli
Manta FC
🟨
45'
Braian Ramírez
Manta FC
🟥
45+1'
Luis Canga
Universidad Catolica
🔄
46'
M. Alonso ↔ D. Palacios
Universidad Catolica
🔄
46'
A. Rodriguez ↔ E. Clavijo
Universidad Catolica
🔄
46'
J. Cacciabue ↔ E. Mejia
Universidad Catolica
🟨
49'
Jefferson Troya
Manta FC
🟨
56'
Octavio Moscarelli
Manta FC
🔄
63'
B. Palacios ↔ J. Fajardo
Universidad Catolica
🔄
66'
J. Troya ↔ F. Asagidigbi
Manta FC
🔄
72'
J. Jimenez ↔ M. Ortiz
Manta FC
🔄
79'
J. Alman ↔ J. Angulo
Manta FC
🔄
79'
B. Ramirez ↔ M. Valencia
Manta FC
🔄
79'
A. Londono ↔ E. Rose
Universidad Catolica
🟨
90+4'
Juan Nazareno
Manta FC
🟨
90+1'
Felix Zambrano
Manta FC
🟨
90+7'
Emiliano Clavijo
Universidad Catolica

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 97.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
97.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
65.1%
-
HT / FT 2-2
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Manta FC Win 2.3%
Draw 0%
Universidad Catolica Win 97.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manta FC0.46
Universidad Catolica1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manta FC Manta FC
WWDLW
2 GF / 13 GA
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WLDWL
24 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.2
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
1
BTTS Yes
6
1
Over 2.5
5
2.6
Shots on Goal
5.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manta FC Manta FC 10 matches
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 13 matches
Manta FC Statistic Universidad Catolica
1 Wins 7
1 Draws 4
8 Losses 2
2 Goals For 24
13 Goals Against 11
0.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
1 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 10
1 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 1
2.6 Shots On Goal 5.08
9.6 Total Shots 13.58
4.8 Corners 4.33
48.8% Ball Possession 58.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Manta FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universidad Catolica. Universidad Catolica look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manta FC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Universidad Catolica in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad Catolica having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Universidad Catolica carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 22 points while Manta FC sit 16 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Manta FC Analysis

Manta FC sit 16 with 4 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 2:13, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through J. Jimenez (1 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 22 points from 10 games, Universidad Catolica bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 19:4, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Palacios (5 goals), E. Clavijo (3 goals), Jhon Chancellor (2 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (3 assists), Jhon Chancellor (2 assists), E. Mejia (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Manta FC won 2 times, Universidad Catolica won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Manta FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.22 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Manta FC 4-1-4-1 / Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manta FC wins 2, draws 2, Universidad Catolica wins 5
Stats
Manta FC Manta FC
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 2
26 Fouls 7
6 Offsides 0
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 0
3 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 5
1 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
284 Total passes 402
172 Passes accurate 296
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Manta FC
Formation
Universidad Catolica
F. Zambrano
F. Zambrano
I. Cuero
I. Cuero
O. Moscarelli
O. Moscarelli
D. Quintero
D. Quintero
J. Chala
J. Chala
B. Ramirez
B. Ramirez
J. Nazareno
J. Nazareno
J. Jimenez
J. Jimenez
J. Troya
J. Troya
J. Blanco
J. Blanco
J. Alman
J. Alman
R. Romo
R. Romo
D. Nazareno
D. Nazareno
L. Canga
L. Canga
Jhon Chancellor
Jhon Chancellor
E. Valencia
E. Valencia
L. Moreno
L. Moreno
J. Cacciabue
J. Cacciabue
A. Londono
A. Londono
A. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
B. Palacios
B. Palacios
M. Alonso
M. Alonso
Manta FC 4-3-3
Starting XI
12
F. Zambrano
🟨 90+1'
G
45
I. Cuero
D
24
O. Moscarelli
⚽ 12' 🟨 56'
D
16
D. Quintero
D
20
J. Chala
D
5
B. Ramirez
↓ 79' 🟨 45'
M
70
J. Nazareno
🟨 90+4'
M
6
J. Jimenez
↓ 72'
M
27
J. Troya
↓ 66'
9
J. Blanco
F
19
J. Alman
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
1
W. Chavez
G
99
E. Pico
7
D. Cabezas
M
17
J. Angulo
↑ 79'
F
21
M. Ortiz
↑ 72'
M
18
E. Beltramone
F
11
F. Asagidigbi
↑ 66'
F
8
M. Valencia
↑ 79'
F
23
A. Medina
52
J. Rialpe
M
10
S. Burbano
M
Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
R. Romo
G
24
D. Nazareno
33
L. Canga
🟥 45+1'
D
4
Jhon Chancellor
D
44
E. Valencia
D
15
L. Moreno
M
5
J. Cacciabue
↓ 46'
M
9
A. Londono
↓ 79'
M
23
A. Rodriguez
↓ 46'
M
18
B. Palacios
↓ 63'
M
32
M. Alonso
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Lara
G
6
D. Palacios
↑ 46'
D
8
E. Clavijo
↑ 46' 🟨 90+7'
F
7
J. Fajardo
↑ 63'
F
19
M. Sevillano
M
10
F. Martinez
M
30
E. Mejia
↑ 46'
M
29
G. Anangono
D
13
E. Rose
↑ 79'
F
26
S. Yanez
F
17
R. Troya
M
20
J. Chala
M
Last matches: Manta FC
23.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
19.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
0
0
D
04.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
4
L
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
26.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Aucas
1
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
1
1
D
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.02.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
0
1
L
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
22.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
18.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
15.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
10.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
06.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
3
L
31.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
0
1
L
23.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
1
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
24.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
2
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
09.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
H2H: Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica
27.04.26
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
12.07.25
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
4
2
W
15.03.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
3
0
L
31.07.21
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
27.02.21
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
3
3
D
04.05.14
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
2
1
L
01.03.14
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
15.06.13
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D
16.02.13
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
3
1
L
Last matches: Manta FC
23.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
15.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
0
0
D
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
H2H at home: Manta FC
27.04.26
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
12.07.25
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
4
2
W
31.07.21
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
01.03.14
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
15.06.13
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
18.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
10.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
31.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
0
1
L
23.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
1
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
06.02.26
CON
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Universidad Catolica
Sporting Cristal
1
3
L
H2H away: Universidad Catolica
27.04.26
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
L
12.07.25
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
4
2
L
31.07.21
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
0
1
W
01.03.14
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
0
1
W
15.06.13
H2H
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 17 1 3 52:20 32 52
W W W W W
2 21 10 5 6 33:19 14 35
W W W L L
3 21 10 5 6 23:21 2 35
L W L W W
4 21 9 7 5 23:16 7 34
L W D D W
5 21 9 5 7 24:21 3 32
W L W W W
6 21 8 5 8 20:17 3 29
D L L D L
7 21 7 7 7 22:21 1 28
D W D W W
8 21 8 4 9 19:26 -7 28
L L D L L
9 21 7 6 8 19:23 -4 27
D W D W L
10 21 7 5 9 25:29 -4 26
W L L D L
11 21 6 7 8 27:31 -4 25
D W L L W
12 21 7 7 7 18:24 -6 25
D L W D D
13 21 6 6 9 19:26 -7 24
W L W D L
14 21 7 2 12 19:24 -5 23
L L L L W
15 21 6 5 10 13:20 -7 23
L W W L D
16 21 3 5 13 8:26 -18 14
D L L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs