ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jocay
Referee: J. C. Andrade Arreaga
Manta FC
Match Timeline
Mushuc Runa SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
C. Angulo · Assist: A. Zambrano
Mushuc Runa SC
7'
R. Carrillo · Assist: C. Angulo
Mushuc Runa SC
23'
J. Angulo · Assist: B. Ramirez
Manta FC
🔄
46'
J. Nazareno ↔ W. Chala
Manta FC
🔄
46'
J. Verges ↔ J. Rialpe
Manta FC
🟨
66'
Jeremy Cusme
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
67'
A. Medina ↔ J. Alman
Manta FC
🔄
67'
B. Ramirez ↔ M. Valencia
Manta FC
🔄
67'
C. Angulo ↔ L. Lemos
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
80'
J. Chala ↔ F. Asagidigbi
Manta FC
🔄
81'
M. Perea ↔ R. Ibarra
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
81'
R. Carrillo ↔ J. Caicedo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
84'
J. Cusme ↔ F. Carabali
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
84'
A. Zambrano ↔ B. Corozo
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
88'
Jefferson Troya
Manta FC
🟨
90+3'
Alejandro Rialpe
Manta FC
🟨
90'
Alejandro Rialpe
Manta FC
🟥
90+3'
Alejandro Rialpe
Manta FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Manta FC Win 36.5%
Draw 19.8%
Mushuc Runa SC Win 43.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manta FC0.82
Mushuc Runa SC1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manta FC Manta FC
WWDLW
8 GF / 27 GA
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
WLDWL
27 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.36
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
14
4
Over 2.5
12
2.59
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manta FC Manta FC 22 matches
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 22 matches
Manta FC Statistic Mushuc Runa SC
3 Wins 6
5 Draws 7
14 Losses 9
8 Goals For 27
27 Goals Against 33
0.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 14
9 Over 1.5 16
4 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 6
15 Failed To Score 5
2.59 Shots On Goal 3.82
9.68 Total Shots 12.91
4.77 Corners 4.86
47% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manta FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mushuc Runa SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mushuc Runa SC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mushuc Runa SC. Manta FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Manta FC Analysis

Manta FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 14 points from 21 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 8:26, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jean Carlos Blanco (2 goals), José Angulo (2 goals), Juan Jimenez (1 goals), with creative support from Jean Carlos Blanco (1 assists), Braian Ramírez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mushuc Runa SC Analysis

So far, Mushuc Runa SC have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 25 points from 21 matches. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 27:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ronie Carrillo (5 goals), Kevin Velasco (2 goals), Renato Ibarra (2 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Kevin Velasco (2 assists), Jackson González (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manta FC won 3 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Manta FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
Predicted formations: Manta FC 4-2-3-1 / Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Manta FC wins 3, draws 5, Mushuc Runa SC wins 7
Stats
Manta FC Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 6
9 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
380 Total passes 276
302 Passes accurate 199
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Manta FC
Formation
Mushuc Runa SC
W. Chavez
W. Chavez
A. Medina
A. Medina
J. Troya
J. Troya
O. Moscarelli
O. Moscarelli
G. Mina
G. Mina
B. Ramirez
🎯
B. Ramirez
J. Nazareno
J. Nazareno
J. Verges
J. Verges
R. Burbano
R. Burbano
J. Chala
J. Chala
J. Angulo
J. Angulo
R. Formento
R. Formento
K. Peralta
K. Peralta
R. Biojo
R. Biojo
J. Cusme
J. Cusme
J. Hernandez
J. Hernandez
C. Angulo
🎯
C. Angulo
E. Davila
E. Davila
A. Zambrano
🎯
A. Zambrano
M. Perea
M. Perea
T. Minda
T. Minda
R. Carrillo
R. Carrillo
Manta FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
W. Chavez
G
23
A. Medina
↓ 67'
27
J. Troya
24
O. Moscarelli
D
31
G. Mina
D
5
B. Ramirez
🎯 23' ↓ 67'
M
70
J. Nazareno
↓ 46'
M
55
J. Verges
↓ 46'
M
10
R. Burbano
M
20
J. Chala
↓ 80'
M
17
J. Angulo
⚽ 23'
F
Substitutes
12
F. Zambrano
G
99
E. Pico
19
J. Alman
↑ 67'
F
7
W. Chala
↑ 46'
F
6
J. Jimenez
M
21
M. Ortiz
M
11
F. Asagidigbi
↑ 80'
F
14
J. Mina
M
8
M. Valencia
↑ 67'
F
33
A. Castillo
F
52
J. Rialpe
↑ 46' 🟨 90+3' 🟨 90' 🟥 90+3'
M
57
S. Burbano
M
Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
R. Formento
G
26
K. Peralta
D
4
R. Biojo
D
50
J. Cusme
↓ 84' 🟨 66'
D
33
J. Hernandez
D
99
C. Angulo
⚽ 5' 🎯 7' ↓ 67'
M
5
E. Davila
M
8
A. Zambrano
🎯 5' ↓ 84'
M
28
M. Perea
↓ 81'
M
7
T. Minda
F
9
R. Carrillo
⚽ 7' ↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
42
W. Pabon
G
30
R. Ibarra
↑ 81'
F
12
F. Carabali
↑ 84'
D
10
F. Mina
F
61
J. Caicedo
↑ 81'
F
23
L. Lemos
↑ 67'
M
2
F. Flor
D
19
B. Corozo
↑ 84'
M
37
J. L. Mancilla Quinones
D
18
J. Gonzalez
M
52
D. Merino
M
Last matches: Manta FC
22.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
5
L
15.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
2
L
11.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
1
W
26.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
23.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
19.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
0
0
D
04.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
4
L
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
26.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Aucas
1
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
22.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
0
D
16.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
10.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
W
27.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
0
2
L
24.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
1
1
D
20.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
1
W
14.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
1
2
L
11.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
06.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
31.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
H2H: Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa SC
01.08.26
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
11.04.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
L
08.11.25
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
W
25.10.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
30.08.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
2
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
15.08.21
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
14.03.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
4
2
L
10.11.18
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
11.08.18
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
0
0
D
14.07.18
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
03.03.18
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
2
0
L
25.11.17
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
0
1
W
29.07.17
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
08.07.17
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
2
0
L
Last matches: Manta FC
15.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
2
L
23.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
15.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
0
0
D
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
H2H at home: Manta FC
01.08.26
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
08.11.25
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
W
10.05.25
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
15.08.21
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
10.11.18
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
14.07.18
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
29.07.17
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
22.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
0
D
10.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
W
24.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
1
1
D
14.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
1
2
L
06.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
19.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
1
D
H2H away: Mushuc Runa SC
01.08.26
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
W
08.11.25
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
L
15.08.21
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
10.11.18
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
W
14.07.18
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
29.07.17
H2H
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 22 1 3 64:26 38 67
W W W W W
2 26 13 5 8 30:26 4 44
W L W W L
3 26 12 7 7 45:23 22 43
W D L W D
4 25 12 6 7 33:25 8 42
D W W W W
5 26 12 5 9 26:20 6 41
W W L W W
6 26 10 9 7 28:20 8 39
W D L D L
7 26 9 8 9 28:28 0 35
L W L D W
8 25 9 7 9 28:29 -1 34
D W W W W
9 26 8 9 9 32:34 -2 33
D D W W L
10 26 8 9 9 25:29 -4 33
W D D L D
11 26 9 5 12 22:32 -10 32
D L L L W
12 26 8 6 12 30:39 -9 30
L W D L L
13 26 8 8 10 21:31 -10 29
L W D L L
14 26 8 2 16 23:37 -14 26
L L L L W
15 26 6 6 14 17:28 -11 24
L L D L L
16 26 4 5 17 12:37 -25 17
L L W L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs