ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jocay
Referee: G. Araujo
Manta FC
Match Timeline
Macara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
25'
Jostin Alman
Manta FC
🔄
63'
J. Rialpe ↔ F. Asagidigbi
Manta FC
🔄
63'
M. Ayala ↔ J. Mohor
Macara
🔄
63'
J. Estacio ↔ J. Chala
Macara
71'
J. Jimenez · Assist: M. Miranda
Macara
🔄
75'
I. Cuero ↔ M. Valencia
Manta FC
🔄
75'
J. Troya ↔ A. Medina
Manta FC
🔄
77'
L. Ferro ↔ T. Chamba
Macara
🔄
77'
M. Miranda ↔ J. Klinger
Macara
🔄
81'
J. Jimenez ↔ D. Cabezas
Manta FC
🔄
81'
J. Chala ↔ S. Burbano
Manta FC
🔄
87'
F. Posse ↔ M. Medranda
Macara

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Manta FC Win 15.5%
Draw 21.1%
Macara Win 63.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manta FC0.65
Macara1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manta FC Manta FC
WWDLW
4 GF / 14 GA
Macara Macara
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.33
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
2
BTTS Yes
7
1
Over 2.5
7
2.75
Shots on Goal
4.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manta FC Manta FC 12 matches
Macara Macara 14 matches
Manta FC Statistic Macara
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 4
8 Losses 6
4 Goals For 15
14 Goals Against 16
0.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
2 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 10
1 Over 2.5 7
0 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 4
2.75 Shots On Goal 4.92
9.17 Total Shots 13.75
4.75 Corners 5.25
46.4% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Macara's more proactive style and Manta FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Macara carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 16 points while Manta FC sit 16 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manta FC expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Macara in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Macara having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Macara.

Manta FC Analysis

With 8 points from 12 games and a place of 16, Manta FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 4:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Jimenez (1 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 goals), Jose Enrique Angulo (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Macara Analysis

Macara sit 9 with 16 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 13:12 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Franco Posse (4 goals), F. Paz (3 goals), M. Tello (2 goals), with creative support from F. Paz (2 assists), J. Klinger (2 assists), Franco Posse (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manta FC won 5 times, Macara won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:25 from Manta FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Manta FC 4-5-1 / Macara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manta FC wins 5, draws 3, Macara wins 7
Stats
Manta FC Manta FC
Macara Macara
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 7
10 Fouls 17
4 Offsides 0
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 1
2 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
333 Total passes 276
236 Passes accurate 169
0.73 expected_goals 0.64
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Manta FC
Formation
Macara
F. Zambrano
F. Zambrano
I. Cuero
I. Cuero
D. Quintero
D. Quintero
O. Moscarelli
O. Moscarelli
J. Chala
J. Chala
J. Rialpe
J. Rialpe
J. Nazareno
J. Nazareno
J. Alman
J. Alman
J. Jimenez
J. Jimenez
J. Troya
J. Troya
J. Angulo
J. Angulo
R. Rodriguez
R. Rodriguez
D. Bolanos
D. Bolanos
J. Jimenez
J. Jimenez
J. Marrufo
J. Marrufo
M. Ayala
M. Ayala
J. Estacio
J. Estacio
J. Cazares
J. Cazares
G. Blanc
G. Blanc
M. Miranda
🎯
M. Miranda
F. Posse
F. Posse
L. Ferro
L. Ferro
Manta FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
F. Zambrano
G
45
I. Cuero
↓ 75'
D
16
D. Quintero
D
24
O. Moscarelli
D
20
J. Chala
↓ 81'
D
52
J. Rialpe
↓ 63'
M
70
J. Nazareno
M
19
J. Alman
M
6
J. Jimenez
↓ 81'
M
27
J. Troya
↓ 75'
17
J. Angulo
F
Substitutes
1
W. Chavez
G
99
E. Pico
7
D. Cabezas
↑ 81'
M
18
E. Beltramone
F
11
F. Asagidigbi
↑ 63'
F
8
M. Valencia
↑ 75'
F
4
J. Nazareno
D
23
A. Medina
↑ 75'
10
S. Burbano
↑ 81'
M
64
J. Ortiz
M
47
M. Vera
F
Macara 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
R. Rodriguez
G
25
D. Bolanos
D
4
J. Jimenez
⚽ 71'
D
14
J. Marrufo
D
13
M. Ayala
↓ 63'
D
5
J. Estacio
↓ 63'
M
16
J. Cazares
M
8
G. Blanc
M
10
M. Miranda
🎯 71' ↓ 77'
M
9
F. Posse
↓ 87'
F
22
L. Ferro
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Cuero
G
21
S. Etchebarne
D
26
M. Medranda
↑ 87'
D
27
J. Mohor
↑ 63'
M
11
T. Espinoza
M
77
J. Chala
↑ 63'
F
30
T. Chamba
↑ 77'
M
87
J. Klinger
↑ 77'
F
17
J. Zambrano
M
15
M. Tello
M
3
J. Espinoza
D
Last matches: Manta FC
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
26.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Aucas
1
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
1
1
D
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.02.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
0
1
L
Last matches: Macara
01.06.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
24.05.26
Lig
Macara
Emelec
0
2
L
16.05.26
Lig
Macara
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Macara
Orense SC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Macara
Libertad
3
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Macara
Universidad Catolica
0
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Macara
Barcelona SC
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Macara
Aucas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
18.03.26
Lig
Macara
Delfin SC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Macara
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Macara
FBC Melgar
1
2
L
H2H: Manta FC vs Macara
10.05.26
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
27.09.25
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
3
L
31.05.25
H2H
Macara
Manta FC
2
2
D
18.10.23
H2H
Macara
Manta FC
1
3
W
30.08.23
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
1
D
16.06.23
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
3
1
W
19.04.23
H2H
Macara
Manta FC
2
0
L
30.10.21
H2H
Macara
Manta FC
1
2
W
16.05.21
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
1
D
29.10.16
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
0
W
28.08.16
H2H
Macara
Manta FC
4
1
L
18.06.16
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
4
L
10.04.16
H2H
Macara
Manta FC
1
0
L
31.10.15
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
3
1
W
16.08.15
H2H
Macara
Manta FC
2
1
L
Last matches: Manta FC
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
H2H at home: Manta FC
10.05.26
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
27.09.25
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
3
L
30.08.23
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
1
D
16.06.23
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
3
1
W
16.05.21
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
1
D
29.10.16
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
0
W
18.06.16
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
4
L
31.10.15
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
3
1
W
Last matches: Macara
01.06.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
24.05.26
Lig
Macara
Emelec
0
2
L
24.04.26
Lig
Macara
Universidad Catolica
0
4
L
12.04.26
Lig
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Macara
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Macara
FBC Melgar
1
2
L
H2H away: Macara
10.05.26
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
W
27.09.25
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
3
W
30.08.23
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
1
D
16.06.23
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
3
1
L
16.05.21
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
1
D
29.10.16
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
0
L
18.06.16
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
1
4
W
31.10.15
H2H
Manta FC
Macara
3
1
L

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 1 3 32:18 14 37
W L W W W
2 16 8 3 5 18:17 1 27
W D W W W
3 16 7 5 4 26:14 12 26
L W D L L
4 16 7 5 4 18:13 5 26
L W W L D
5 16 7 5 4 19:16 3 26
D W L W L
6 15 7 3 5 16:13 3 24
D W W W L
7 15 6 4 5 21:19 2 22
L W W W D
8 16 6 2 8 17:16 1 20
W W L W L
9 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
D L L W L
10 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 19
W W D D L
11 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
L D L L L
12 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
D L W L W
14 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
L W L D W
15 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
L L D L W
16 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12
W L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs