ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jocay
Referee: B. L. Salazar
Manta FC
Match Timeline
Emelec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
A. Medina ↔ M. Valencia
Manta FC
🔄
59'
F. Pizzini ↔ L. Fragozo
Emelec
🔄
59'
G. Napoli ↔ S. Quintero
Emelec
🔄
68'
J. Chala ↔ J. Blanco
Manta FC
🔄
80'
J. Angulo ↔ J. Troya
Manta FC
🟨
83'
Juan Nazareno
Manta FC
🔄
84'
V. Griffith ↔ A. Viteri
Emelec
🟨
90+2'
Maikel Valencia
Manta FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
80.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Manta FC Win 19.8%
Draw 32.9%
Emelec Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manta FC0.68
Emelec0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manta FC Manta FC
WWDLW
4 GF / 15 GA
Emelec Emelec
WLDWL
10 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.31
Average Goals Scored
0.77
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
2
BTTS Yes
5
1
Over 2.5
2
2.62
Shots on Goal
3.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manta FC Manta FC 13 matches
Emelec Emelec 13 matches
Manta FC Statistic Emelec
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
9 Losses 6
4 Goals For 10
15 Goals Against 16
0.31 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
2 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 10
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
9 Failed To Score 5
2.62 Shots On Goal 3.23
9 Total Shots 11.23
4.69 Corners 5
47% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Manta FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Emelec. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manta FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Emelec in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Emelec having the stronger overall control.

Manta FC Analysis

Manta FC sit 16 with 8 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 4:15, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Jimenez (1 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 goals), Jose Enrique Angulo (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Emelec Analysis

Emelec are currently 12 in the standings with 15 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 10:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luca Klimowicz (2 goals), R. Caicedo (2 goals), I. Guerrico (1 goals), with creative support from A. Mina (2 assists), Luca Klimowicz (1 assists), I. Guerrico (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Manta FC won 1 times, Emelec won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:25 from Manta FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (80.3%)
Predicted formations: Manta FC 4-4-2 / Emelec 5-3-2
H2H summary: Manta FC wins 1, draws 4, Emelec wins 7
Stats
Manta FC Manta FC
Emelec Emelec
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Goal 2
9 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
227 Total passes 346
130 Passes accurate 257
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Manta FC
Formation
Emelec
F. Zambrano
F. Zambrano
I. Cuero
I. Cuero
D. Quintero
D. Quintero
O. Moscarelli
O. Moscarelli
G. Mina
G. Mina
A. Medina
A. Medina
J. Nazareno
J. Nazareno
J. Jimenez
J. Jimenez
J. Chala
J. Chala
J. Angulo
J. Angulo
J. Alman
J. Alman
P. Ortiz
P. Ortiz
R. Caicedo
R. Caicedo
F. Leon
F. Leon
E. Segura
E. Segura
I. Guerrico
I. Guerrico
V. Griffith
V. Griffith
J. Ruiz
J. Ruiz
A. Mina
A. Mina
G. Napoli
G. Napoli
F. Pizzini
F. Pizzini
L. Klimowicz
L. Klimowicz
Manta FC 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
F. Zambrano
G
45
I. Cuero
D
16
D. Quintero
D
24
O. Moscarelli
D
31
G. Mina
D
23
A. Medina
↓ 46'
70
J. Nazareno
🟨 83'
M
6
J. Jimenez
M
20
J. Chala
↓ 68'
M
17
J. Angulo
↓ 80'
F
19
J. Alman
F
Substitutes
1
W. Chavez
G
99
E. Pico
9
J. Blanco
↑ 68'
F
7
D. Cabezas
M
21
M. Ortiz
M
18
E. Beltramone
F
8
M. Valencia
↑ 46' 🟨 90+2'
F
33
A. Castillo
F
4
J. Nazareno
D
27
J. Troya
↑ 80'
52
J. Rialpe
M
57
S. Burbano
M
Emelec 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
P. Ortiz
G
14
R. Caicedo
D
27
F. Leon
D
4
E. Segura
D
3
I. Guerrico
D
6
V. Griffith
↓ 84'
M
19
J. Ruiz
M
5
A. Mina
M
8
G. Napoli
↓ 59'
M
10
F. Pizzini
↓ 59'
M
7
L. Klimowicz
F
Substitutes
1
M. Valero
G
80
O. Herrera
D
15
L. Fragozo
↑ 59'
F
16
S. Quintero
↑ 59'
M
51
S. Valencia
20
J. Gonzaga
F
24
A. Viteri
↑ 84'
18
M. Carabali
25
R. Narvaez
M
Last matches: Manta FC
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
26.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Aucas
1
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
1
1
D
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.02.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
0
1
L
Last matches: Emelec
31.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Macara
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Libertad
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Leones del Norte
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Emelec
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
L
09.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
05.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
0
2
L
20.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Orense SC
2
1
W
07.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Delfin SC
1
1
D
H2H: Manta FC vs Emelec
17.05.26
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
26.07.25
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
2
4
L
06.04.25
H2H
Emelec
Manta FC
1
1
D
25.01.25
H2H
Emelec
Manta FC
2
2
D
28.11.21
H2H
Emelec
Manta FC
4
0
L
18.07.21
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
0
4
L
26.04.14
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
1
3
L
08.03.14
H2H
Emelec
Manta FC
4
1
L
20.06.13
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
1
2
L
14.03.13
H2H
Emelec
Manta FC
1
0
L
24.06.12
H2H
Emelec
Manta FC
0
2
W
25.02.12
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
Last matches: Manta FC
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
H2H at home: Manta FC
17.05.26
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
26.07.25
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
2
4
L
18.07.21
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
0
4
L
26.04.14
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
1
3
L
20.06.13
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
1
2
L
25.02.12
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
Last matches: Emelec
03.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Leones del Norte
0
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
L
09.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
H2H away: Emelec
17.05.26
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
26.07.25
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
2
4
W
18.07.21
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
0
4
W
26.04.14
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
1
3
W
20.06.13
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
1
2
W
25.02.12
H2H
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 1 3 32:18 14 37
W L W W W
2 16 8 3 5 18:17 1 27
W D W W W
3 16 7 5 4 26:14 12 26
L W D L L
4 16 7 5 4 18:13 5 26
L W W L D
5 16 7 5 4 19:16 3 26
D W L W L
6 15 7 3 5 16:13 3 24
D W W W L
7 15 6 4 5 21:19 2 22
L W W W D
8 16 6 2 8 17:16 1 20
W W L W L
9 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
D L L W L
10 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 19
W W D D L
11 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
L D L L L
12 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
D L W L W
14 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
L W L D W
15 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
L L D L W
16 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12
W L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs