WORLD FRIENDLIES CLUBS
--.--.---- --:--
Mansfield Town
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
D. Brown
Derby
31'
M. Smith
Mansfield Town
🔄
46'
R. Sweeney ↔ K. Knoyle
Mansfield Town
🔄
46'
T. Roberts ↔ N. Moriah-Welsh
Mansfield Town
57'
C. Smith
Derby
🔄
61'
L. Salvesen ↔ A. Osayande
Derby
🔄
61'
S. Langas ↔ C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
69'
C. Allen
Derby
🔄
70'
J. Russell ↔ R. Oates
Mansfield Town
🔄
70'
F. Blake-Tracy ↔ S. McLaughlin
Mansfield Town
🔄
70'
L. Reed ↔ G. Maris
Mansfield Town
🔄
70'
M. Smith ↔ J. Bowery
Mansfield Town
🔄
70'
L. Akins ↔ W. Evans
Mansfield Town
🔄
70'
D. McGoldrick ↔ E. Hewitt
Mansfield Town
🔄
70'
R. Hendry ↔ O. Taylor
Mansfield Town
🔄
70'
A. Oshilaja ↔ E. Hartmann
Mansfield Town
🔄
86'
C. Allen ↔ K. Wren
Derby
🔄
86'
C. Smith ↔ D. Hodges
Derby
🔄
88'
J. Vickers ↔ H. Price
Derby
🔄
88'
K. Goudmijn ↔ K. Myers
Derby

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds 3.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.47
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
3.10
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.53
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Mansfield Town Win 57%
Draw 5.2%
Derby Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mansfield Town2.77
Derby1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
WWDLW
7 GF / 4 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
4 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
3.5
Average Goals Scored
1.33
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
1
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2 matches
Derby Derby 3 matches
Mansfield Town Statistic Derby
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
7 Goals For 4
4 Goals Against 5
3.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Mansfield Town won 0 times, Derby won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Mansfield Town's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Mansfield Town 3-1-4-2 / Derby -
H2H summary: Mansfield Town wins 0, draws 1, Derby wins 1
Last matches: Mansfield Town
28.07.26
Fri
Mansfield Town
Alfreton Town
4
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Mansfield Town
Barrow
3
4
L
02.05.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Cardiff
5
4
W
28.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Peterborough
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Huddersfield
4
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Stockport County
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Luton
2
2
D
14.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Wigan
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Burton Albion
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Doncaster
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Northampton
4
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Bradford
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Barnsley
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Reading
1
0
W
07.03.26
FA
Mansfield Town
Arsenal
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Rotherham
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
AFC Wimbledon
2
2
D
21.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Lincoln
0
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Blackpool
0
1
L
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
H2H: Mansfield Town vs Derby
04.10.22
H2H
Mansfield Town
Derby
1
1
D
09.08.22
H2H
Mansfield Town
Derby
1
2
L
Last matches: Mansfield Town
02.05.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Cardiff
5
4
W
18.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Luton
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Burton Albion
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Northampton
4
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Barnsley
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Reading
1
0
W
07.03.26
FA
Mansfield Town
Arsenal
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
AFC Wimbledon
2
2
D
21.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Lincoln
0
2
L
10.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Peterborough
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Exeter City
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Wycombe
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Port Vale
3
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Bradford
3
0
W
20.12.25
Lea
Mansfield Town
Stockport County
1
2
L
09.12.25
Lea
Mansfield Town
Bolton
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lea
Mansfield Town
Huddersfield
1
3
L
01.11.25
FA
Mansfield Town
Harrogate Town
3
2
W
28.10.25
Lea
Mansfield Town
Plymouth
2
0
W
25.10.25
Lea
Mansfield Town
Wigan
1
1
D
H2H at home: Mansfield Town
04.10.22
H2H
Mansfield Town
Derby
1
1
D
09.08.22
H2H
Mansfield Town
Derby
1
2
L
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
H2H away: Derby
04.10.22
H2H
Mansfield Town
Derby
1
1
D
09.08.22
H2H
Mansfield Town
Derby
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.91
Draw 3.75
Home 3.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 2.40
Home 3.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.53
Under 2.5 2.38
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.92
Draw 3.70
Home 3.22
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 2.34
Home 3.76
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.24
Draw 2.70
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.0 1.19
Over 2.25 1.35
Over 2.5 1.49
Over 2.75 1.64
Over 3.0 1.80
Over 3.25 2.07
Over 3.5 2.31
Over 3.75 2.62
Over 4.0 3.20
Over 4.25 3.50
Over 4.5 3.84
Over 5.0 6.30
Over 5.5 7.50
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.5 4.80
Under 2.0 3.75
Under 2.25 2.74
Under 2.5 2.30
Under 2.75 2.10
Under 3.0 1.82
Under 3.25 1.66
Under 3.5 1.53
Under 3.75 1.38
Under 4.0 1.26
Under 4.25 1.22
Under 4.5 1.18
Under 5.0 1.06
Under 5.5 1.05