Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
57.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Mansfield Town
Cardiff
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mansfield Town
50 matches
Cardiff
46 matches
| Mansfield Town | Statistic | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 27 |
| 18 | Draws | 10 |
| 14 | Losses | 9 |
| 68 | Goals For | 86 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.87 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 29 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.47 | Shots On Goal | 5.26 |
| 11.29 | Total Shots | 15.33 |
| 4.49 | Corners | 6.07 |
| 44.4% | Ball Possession | 61.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cardiff. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Cardiff carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 91 points while Mansfield Town sit 11 on 62, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mansfield Town expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Cardiff in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cardiff having the stronger overall control. Cardiff look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
So far, Mansfield Town have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 62 points from 45 matches. The record of 15 wins, 17 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 57:46 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through W. Evans (8 goals), L. Akins (7 goals), R. Oates (7 goals), with creative support from R. Oates (3 assists), R. Hendry (3 assists), Stephen McLaughlin (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Cardiff approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 91 points after 45 outings. They have recorded 27 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, with a 86:45 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Y. Salech (14 goals), O. Kellyman (9 goals), C. Robinson (8 goals), with creative support from Ollie Tanner (11 assists), C. Willock (7 assists), R. Wintle (7 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Mansfield Town won 1 times, Cardiff won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:11 from Mansfield Town's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.25 goals per game.
Mansfield Town
10
7
1
9
1
5
Lineups
Mansfield Town
Barrow
Mansfield Town
Peterborough
Mansfield Town
Huddersfield
Mansfield Town
Stockport County
Mansfield Town
Luton
Mansfield Town
Leyton Orient
Mansfield Town
Wigan
Mansfield Town
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
Doncaster
Mansfield Town
Northampton
Mansfield Town
Bradford
Mansfield Town
Barnsley
Mansfield Town
Reading
Mansfield Town
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
Lincoln
Mansfield Town
Blackpool
Mansfield Town
Burnley
Mansfield Town
Peterborough
Cardiff
Forest Green
Cardiff
Cork City
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
Cardiff
Northampton
Cardiff
Port Vale
Cardiff
Reading
Cardiff
Huddersfield
Cardiff
Bolton
Cardiff
Peterborough
Cardiff
Blackpool
Cardiff
Wycombe
Cardiff
Exeter City
Cardiff
Barnsley
Cardiff
Lincoln
Cardiff
Doncaster
Cardiff
Plymouth
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
Cardiff
Luton
Cardiff
Rotherham
Cardiff
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
Luton
Mansfield Town
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
Northampton
Mansfield Town
Barnsley
Mansfield Town
Reading
Mansfield Town
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
Lincoln
Mansfield Town
Peterborough
Mansfield Town
Exeter City
Mansfield Town
Wycombe
Mansfield Town
Port Vale
Mansfield Town
Bradford
Mansfield Town
Stockport County
Mansfield Town
Bolton
Mansfield Town
Huddersfield
Mansfield Town
Harrogate Town
Mansfield Town
Plymouth
Mansfield Town
Wigan
Mansfield Town
Rotherham
Cardiff
Forest Green
Cardiff
Cork City
Cardiff
Reading
Cardiff
Huddersfield
Cardiff
Peterborough
Cardiff
Exeter City
Cardiff
Barnsley
Cardiff
Doncaster
Cardiff
Plymouth
Cardiff
Rotherham
Cardiff
Burton Albion
Cardiff
Bradford
Cardiff
Leyton Orient
Cardiff
Wycombe
Cardiff
Lincoln
Cardiff
Stevenage
Cardiff
Northampton
Cardiff
Blackpool
Cardiff
Peterborough
Cardiff
Bolton
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Cardiff
Away
|
46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 |
Mansfield Town
Home
|
46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|