TURKEY › 1. LIG
01.05.2026 17:00
Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu
Referee: O. Gokcen
Manisa F.K.
Match Timeline
Sakaryaspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
B. Adekanye
Manisa F.K.
⚽
26'
B. Adekanye · Assist: L. Diony
Manisa F.K.
🔄
46'
A. Sen ↔ E. Akboga
Manisa F.K.
🔄
46'
U. Erdem ↔ U. Can Aslan
Manisa F.K.
🔄
46'
E. Dagli ↔ D. Tuzcu
Sakaryaspor
🟨
47'
Özgür Çoban
Sakaryaspor
⚽
49'
L. Diony
Manisa F.K.
⚽
53'
L. Diony · Assist: M. Kiprit
Manisa F.K.
⚽
57'
L. Diony · Assist: Y. E. Kose
Manisa F.K.
🔄
59'
K. Sen ↔ A. Turan
Sakaryaspor
🔄
59'
Y. Tekerci ↔ E. Yesilyurt
Sakaryaspor
🟨
61'
Poyraz Efe Yıldırım
Sakaryaspor
🟨
63'
Selim Kütük
Sakaryaspor
🔄
66'
M. Kiprit ↔ B. Colak
Manisa F.K.
🔄
67'
B. Adekanye ↔ O. Kahraman
Manisa F.K.
🟨
72'
Batuhan Çolak
Manisa F.K.
🔄
72'
A. Demir ↔ M. Bingol
Sakaryaspor
🔄
78'
O. Coban ↔ Y. Sunar
Sakaryaspor
🔄
84'
L. Diony ↔ O. Yurtdas
Manisa F.K.

Manisa F.K. vs Sakaryaspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 37.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
37.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Manisa F.K. Win 88.4%
Draw 6.5%
Sakaryaspor Win 5.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manisa F.K.1.56
Sakaryaspor1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K.
WWDLW
52 GF / 56 GA
Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor
WLDWL
45 GF / 64 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.51
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
19
BTTS Yes
21
20
Over 2.5
18
4.22
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K. 37 matches
Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 36 matches
Manisa F.K. Statistic Sakaryaspor
15 Wins 8
7 Draws 10
15 Losses 18
52 Goals For 45
56 Goals Against 64
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.51 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
19 BTTS Yes 21
28 Over 1.5 32
20 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 11
4.22 Shots On Goal 3.92
10.92 Total Shots 10.72
3.68 Corners 3.97
45.8% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sakaryaspor. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manisa F.K. expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sakaryaspor in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sakaryaspor having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Sakaryaspor arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Manisa F.K. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 52 points compared to Sakaryaspor in 18 on 34, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Manisa F.K. Analysis

So far, Manisa F.K. have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 52 points from 37 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 52:56 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Diony (19 goals), Y. Benrahou (5 goals), B. Suleyman (4 goals), with creative support from J. Lindseth (7 assists), Yusuf Talum (6 assists), L. Diony (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sakaryaspor Analysis

Sakaryaspor sit 18 with 34 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 10 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 45:67 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Kakuta (8 goals), W. Ben Yedder (5 goals), M. Bostan (4 goals), with creative support from S. Yavuz (4 assists), Caner Erkin (4 assists), G. Kakuta (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Manisa F.K. won 4 times, Sakaryaspor won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from Manisa F.K.'s perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Manisa F.K. 4-1-4-1 / Sakaryaspor 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manisa F.K. wins 4, draws 3, Sakaryaspor wins 3

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2 38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
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