TURKEY 1. LIG
20.09.2026 14:00
Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu
Referee: E. Mertoglu

Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.94
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.94
BTTS Yes
86%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.60
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.9%
1.43
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Manisa F.K. Win 88%
Draw 6%
İstanbulspor Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manisa F.K.2
İstanbulspor1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K.
WWDLW
12 GF / 11 GA
İstanbulspor İstanbulspor
WLDWL
6 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
2.44
6
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
3.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K. 7 matches
İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 9 matches
Manisa F.K. Statistic İstanbulspor
2 Wins 0
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 7
12 Goals For 6
11 Goals Against 22
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 2.44
6 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 3.43
12.57 Total Shots 9.86
3.57 Corners 3.14
52.6% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Manisa F.K.'s more proactive style and İstanbulspor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manisa F.K. expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and İstanbulspor in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward İstanbulspor having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward İstanbulspor. Manisa F.K. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 8 points compared to İstanbulspor in 19 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. İstanbulspor arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Manisa F.K. Analysis

Manisa F.K. sit 12 with 8 points after 6 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:10 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Anziani (2 goals), C. Sylla (1 goals), Y. Talum (1 goals), with creative support from C. Sylla (1 assists), Y. Benrahou (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

İstanbulspor Analysis

İstanbulspor sit 19 with 2 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 6:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Alieu Cham (1 goals), Ö. Duymaz (1 goals), with creative support from B. Nızam (1 assists), M. Ologo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Manisa F.K. won 2 times, İstanbulspor won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Manisa F.K.'s perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Manisa F.K. 4-1-4-1 / İstanbulspor 4-4-2
H2H summary: Manisa F.K. wins 2, draws 1, İstanbulspor wins 3

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
2 7 5 1 1 14:3 11 16
W W D L W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 7 3 3 1 9:4 5 12
L W D D W
8 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
9 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
10 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
11 7 2 3 2 12:11 1 9
D L L D D
12 7 3 0 4 11:13 -2 9
W L W L L
13 7 2 3 2 9:12 -3 9
D W L D W
14 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
15 7 1 4 2 6:5 1 7
W L D D D
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 7 1 3 3 8:14 -6 6
D D L D W
18 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
19 7 0 2 5 6:19 -13 2
L L L D L
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation