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07.01.2027 20:00
Old Trafford

Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Manchester United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United1.61
Newcastle1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester United Manchester United
L L D L D
3 GF / 11 GA
Newcastle Newcastle
W L L W L
6 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
10
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
10
5.27
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester United Manchester United 17 matches
Newcastle Newcastle 15 matches
Manchester United Statistic Newcastle
4 Wins 5
6 Draws 4
7 Losses 6
26 Goals For 22
27 Goals Against 26
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
10 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 1
5.27 Shots On Goal 3.38
18 Total Shots 12
5.82 Corners 4.5
54.3% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 7 times, Newcastle won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:21 from Manchester United's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Manchester United 4-2-3-1 / Newcastle 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manchester United wins 7, draws 2, Newcastle wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 20:9 11 21
L W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 13:5 8 21
W W W L W
3 8 5 1 2 23:7 16 16
L W W W W
4 8 4 3 1 11:8 3 15
W W L W D
5 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L W W L D
6 8 2 5 1 14:9 5 11
D L D W D
7 8 2 5 1 9:6 3 11
D D L D W
8 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W L L W L
9 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D W L
10 8 2 4 2 9:8 1 10
D L D L D
11 8 2 4 2 8:9 -1 10
L L D W D
12 8 3 1 4 12:16 -4 10
D L W L W
13 8 2 3 3 12:13 -1 9
W W L L D
14 8 2 3 3 8:10 -2 9
W W D L D
15 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
W W L D D
16 8 1 4 3 10:13 -3 7
L D D D L
17 8 2 1 5 9:19 -10 7
L L W D L
18 8 1 3 4 6:10 -4 6
D L L L W
19 8 2 0 6 6:15 -9 6
L L W W L
20 8 1 2 5 6:14 -8 5
D L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship