Manchester United
Match Timeline
Newcastle
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Manchester United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United1.58
Newcastle1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester United
WWDLW
31 GF / 28 GA
Newcastle
WLDWL
36 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
13
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
16
5.71
Shots on Goal
4.96
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester United
17 matches
Newcastle
23 matches
| Manchester United | Statistic | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 8 |
| 31 | Goals For | 36 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.71 | Shots On Goal | 4.96 |
| 16.53 | Total Shots | 12.57 |
| 4.71 | Corners | 6.09 |
| 54.4% | Ball Possession | 50.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 7 times, Newcastle won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:21 from Manchester United's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Manchester United 4-2-3-1 / Newcastle 4-3-3
H2H summary: Manchester United wins 7, draws 2, Newcastle wins 6
Stats
Manchester United
Newcastle
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
0
0
Blocked Shots
7
7
Lineups
Manchester United
Formation
Newcastle
S. Lammens
D. Dalot
A. Heaven
L. Martinez
L. Shaw
Casemiro
M. Ugarte
P. Dorgu
M. Mount
M. Cunha
B. Sesko
A. Ramsdale
L. Miley
M. Thiaw
F. Schar
L. Hall
S. Tonali
Bruno Guimaraes
J. Ramsey
J. Murphy
N. Woltemade
A. Gordon
Manchester United
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
S. Lammens
G
2
D. Dalot
D
26
A. Heaven
D
6
L. Martinez
D
↓ 88'
23
L. Shaw
D
↓ 88'
🟨 69'
18
Casemiro
M
↓ 61'
25
M. Ugarte
M
13
P. Dorgu
M
⚽ 24'
7
M. Mount
M
↓ 46'
10
M. Cunha
M
🟨 90+2'
30
B. Sesko
F
↓ 60'
Substitutes
1
A. Bayindir
G
11
J. Zirkzee
F
↑ 60'
33
T. Fredricson
D
↑ 88'
12
T. Malacia
D
↑ 88'
15
L. Yoro
D
↑ 61'
39
T. Fletcher
M
38
J. Fletcher
M
↑ 46'
61
S. Lacey
F
70
B. Mantato
F
Newcastle
4-3-3
Starting XI
32
A. Ramsdale
G
67
L. Miley
D
12
M. Thiaw
D
5
F. Schar
D
3
L. Hall
D
8
S. Tonali
M
↓ 77'
🟨 73'
39
Bruno Guimaraes
M
41
J. Ramsey
M
↓ 68'
23
J. Murphy
F
↓ 68'
27
N. Woltemade
F
↓ 68'
10
A. Gordon
F
Substitutes
1
N. Pope
G
28
J. Willock
M
↑ 77'
9
Y. Wissa
F
↑ 68'
61
L. Shahar
D
7
Joelinton
M
↑ 68'
11
H. Barnes
M
↑ 68'
37
A. Murphy
D
62
S. Neave
F
85
A. Alabi
Last matches: Manchester United
15.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
AC Milan
2
4
L
12.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Leeds
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Rosenborg
5
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Wrexham
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Chelsea
1
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
1
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
0
W
Last matches: Newcastle
16.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Strasbourg
1
1
D
15.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
L
12.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Everton
1
3
L
08.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Valencia
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Bristol City
1
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Gateshead
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Darlington 1883
3
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brighton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Bournemouth
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
3
L
04.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
W
H2H: Manchester United vs Newcastle
04.03.26
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
L
26.12.25
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
0
W
13.04.25
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
4
1
L
30.12.24
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
2
L
15.05.24
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
3
2
W
02.12.23
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
0
L
01.11.23
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
3
L
02.04.23
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
0
L
26.02.23
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
2
0
W
16.10.22
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
0
D
27.12.21
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
1
D
11.09.21
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
4
1
W
21.02.21
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
3
1
W
17.10.20
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
4
W
26.12.19
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
4
1
W
Last matches: Manchester United
15.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
AC Milan
2
4
L
12.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Leeds
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Wrexham
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Fulham
3
2
W
17.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Manchester City
2
0
W
11.01.26
FA
Manchester United
Brighton
1
2
L
30.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Wolves
1
1
D
15.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
4
4
D
04.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
24.11.25
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
4
2
W
04.10.25
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
2
0
W
H2H at home: Manchester United
26.12.25
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
0
W
30.12.24
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
2
L
15.05.24
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
3
2
W
01.11.23
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
3
L
26.02.23
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
2
0
W
16.10.22
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
0
D
11.09.21
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
4
1
W
21.02.21
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
3
1
W
26.12.19
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
4
1
W
Last matches: Newcastle
08.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Valencia
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Bristol City
1
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Gateshead
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
6
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
1
W
10.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Tottenham
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Liverpool
1
4
L
28.01.26
UEF
Newcastle
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
18.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Wolves
0
0
D
30.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Burnley
3
1
W
14.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
0
1
L
10.12.25
UEF
Newcastle
Bayer Leverkusen
2
2
D
29.11.25
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
4
1
W
H2H away: Newcastle
26.12.25
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
0
L
30.12.24
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
2
W
15.05.24
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
3
2
L
01.11.23
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
3
W
26.02.23
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
2
0
L
16.10.22
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
0
D
11.09.21
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
4
1
L
21.02.21
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
3
1
L
26.12.19
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
4
1
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Manchester United
Home
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Newcastle
Away
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship