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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
17.01.2026 12:30
Old Trafford
Referee: A. Taylor
Manchester United
Match Timeline
Manchester City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Diogo Dalot
Manchester United
🟨
17'
Luke Shaw
Manchester United
🟨
45+2'
Rodri
Manchester City
🔄
46'
M. Alleyne ↔ N. O'Reilly
Manchester City
🔄
46'
P. Foden ↔ R. Cherki
Manchester City
🟨
48'
Nico O'Reilly
Manchester City
⚽
65'
B. Mbeumo · Assist: B. Fernandes
Manchester United
🔄
71'
B. Mbeumo ↔ M. Cunha
Manchester United
🟨
75'
Rico Lewis
Manchester City
⚽
76'
P. Dorgu · Assist: M. Cunha
Manchester United
🔄
80'
B. Silva ↔ T. Reijnders
Manchester City
🔄
80'
J. Doku ↔ R. Ait-Nouri
Manchester City
🔄
80'
E. Haaland ↔ D. Mukasa
Manchester City
🔄
81'
Casemiro ↔ M. Ugarte
Manchester United
VAR
90+4'
Mason Mount
Manchester United
🔄
90+1'
B. Fernandes ↔ M. Mount
Manchester United
🔄
90+1'
L. Shaw ↔ A. Heaven
Manchester United

Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Manchester United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United1.38
Manchester City2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester United Manchester United
WWDLW
37 GF / 34 GA
Manchester City Manchester City
WLDWL
67 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
2.39
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
17
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
17
5.77
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester United Manchester United 22 matches
Manchester City Manchester City 28 matches
Manchester United Statistic Manchester City
8 Wins 18
8 Draws 5
6 Losses 5
37 Goals For 67
34 Goals Against 26
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 2.39
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
17 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 11
3 Failed To Score 4
5.77 Shots On Goal 6
16.82 Total Shots 15.25
4.82 Corners 5.61
54.3% Ball Possession 59.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 5 times, Manchester City won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:29 from Manchester United's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Manchester United 4-2-3-1 / Manchester City 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Manchester United wins 5, draws 2, Manchester City wins 8

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship