Manchester United
Match Timeline
Brighton
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Manchester United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brighton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United1.56
Brighton1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester United
WWDLW
36 GF / 32 GA
Brighton
WLDWL
31 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
16
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
11
5.67
Shots on Goal
4.43
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester United
21 matches
Brighton
21 matches
| Manchester United | Statistic | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 5 | Losses | 6 |
| 36 | Goals For | 31 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.43 |
| 16.71 | Total Shots | 13.19 |
| 4.76 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 54% | Ball Possession | 51.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 7 times, Brighton won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:22 from Manchester United's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Manchester United 4-2-3-1 / Brighton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manchester United wins 7, draws 1, Brighton wins 7
Stats
Manchester United
Brighton
Shots on Goal
8
8
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
3
3
Blocked Shots
4
4
Lineups
Manchester United
Formation
Brighton
S. Lammens
D. Dalot
L. Yoro
L. Martinez
P. Dorgu
M. Ugarte
K. Mainoo
M. Mount
B. Fernandes
M. Cunha
B. Sesko
J. Steele
J. Veltman
D. Coppola
O. Boscagli
F. Kadioglu
J. Hinshelwood
P. Gross
B. Gruda
G. Rutter
D. Gomez
D. Welbeck
Manchester United
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
S. Lammens
G
2
D. Dalot
D
15
L. Yoro
D
6
L. Martinez
D
↓ 79'
13
P. Dorgu
D
25
M. Ugarte
M
↓ 79'
37
K. Mainoo
M
↓ 62'
🟨 60'
7
M. Mount
M
↓ 62'
8
B. Fernandes
M
🎯 85'
10
M. Cunha
M
30
B. Sesko
F
⚽ 85'
Substitutes
1
A. Bayindir
G
26
A. Heaven
D
5
H. Maguire
D
↑ 79'
🟨 90+3'
12
T. Malacia
D
18
Casemiro
M
↑ 79'
38
J. Fletcher
M
39
T. Fletcher
M
61
S. Lacey
F
↑ 62'
🟨 87'
🟨 89'
🟥 89'
11
J. Zirkzee
F
↑ 62'
Brighton
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
J. Steele
G
34
J. Veltman
D
↓ 77'
42
D. Coppola
D
21
O. Boscagli
D
24
F. Kadioglu
D
13
J. Hinshelwood
M
30
P. Gross
M
8
B. Gruda
M
⚽ 12'
🎯 64'
↓ 90+2'
10
G. Rutter
M
↓ 83'
25
D. Gomez
M
↓ 77'
18
D. Welbeck
F
⚽ 64'
↓ 78'
Substitutes
1
B. Verbruggen
G
5
L. Dunk
D
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
↑ 77'
14
T. Watson
F
↑ 90+2'
19
C. Kostoulas
F
↑ 83'
🟨 90+3'
22
K. Mitoma
M
↑ 78'
26
Y. Ayari
M
↑ 77'
51
C. Tasker
D
53
H. Howell
M
Last matches: Manchester United
15.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
AC Milan
2
4
L
12.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Leeds
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Rosenborg
5
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Wrexham
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Chelsea
1
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
1
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
0
W
Last matches: Brighton
15.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Bologna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
H2H: Manchester United vs Brighton
24.05.26
H2H
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
W
11.01.26
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
1
2
L
25.10.25
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
4
2
W
19.01.25
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
1
3
L
24.08.24
H2H
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
L
19.05.24
H2H
Brighton
Manchester United
0
2
W
16.09.23
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
1
3
L
04.05.23
H2H
Brighton
Manchester United
1
0
L
23.04.23
H2H
Brighton
Manchester United
0
0
D
07.08.22
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
1
2
L
07.05.22
H2H
Brighton
Manchester United
4
0
L
15.02.22
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
2
0
W
04.04.21
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
2
1
W
30.09.20
H2H
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
W
26.09.20
H2H
Brighton
Manchester United
2
3
W
Last matches: Manchester United
15.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
AC Milan
2
4
L
12.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Leeds
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Wrexham
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Fulham
3
2
W
17.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Manchester City
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Wolves
1
1
D
26.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
0
W
15.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
4
4
D
04.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
24.11.25
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
4
2
W
04.10.25
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
2
0
W
H2H at home: Manchester United
11.01.26
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
1
2
L
25.10.25
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
4
2
W
19.01.25
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
1
3
L
16.09.23
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
1
3
L
07.08.22
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
1
2
L
15.02.22
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
2
0
W
04.04.21
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
2
1
W
Last matches: Brighton
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
2
4
L
05.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
2
L
24.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Everton
0
2
L
H2H away: Brighton
11.01.26
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
1
2
W
25.10.25
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
4
2
L
19.01.25
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
1
3
W
16.09.23
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
1
3
W
07.08.22
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
1
2
W
15.02.22
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
2
0
L
04.04.21
H2H
Manchester United
Brighton
2
1
L