ENGLAND › FA CUP
11.01.2026 16:30
Old Trafford
Referee: S. Hooper
Manchester United
Match Timeline
Brighton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
B. Gruda
Brighton
🟨
60'
Kobbie Mainoo
Manchester United
🔄
62'
M. Mount ↔ S. Lacey
Manchester United
🔄
62'
K. Mainoo ↔ J. Zirkzee
Manchester United
⚽
64'
D. Welbeck · Assist: B. Gruda
Brighton
🔄
77'
D. Gomez ↔ J. P. van Hecke
Brighton
🔄
77'
J. Veltman ↔ Y. Ayari
Brighton
🔄
78'
D. Welbeck ↔ K. Mitoma
Brighton
🔄
79'
L. Martinez ↔ H. Maguire
Manchester United
🔄
79'
M. Ugarte ↔ Casemiro
Manchester United
🔄
83'
G. Rutter ↔ C. Kostoulas
Brighton
⚽
85'
B. Sesko · Assist: B. Fernandes
Manchester United
🟨
87'
Shea Lacey
Manchester United
🟨
89'
Shea Lacey
Manchester United
🟥
89'
Shea Lacey
Manchester United
🟨
90+3'
Harry Maguire
Manchester United
🟨
90+3'
Charalampos Kostoulas
Brighton
🔄
90+2'
B. Gruda ↔ T. Watson
Brighton

Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Manchester United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brighton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United1.56
Brighton1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester United Manchester United
WWDLW
36 GF / 32 GA
Brighton Brighton
WLDWL
31 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
16
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
11
5.67
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester United Manchester United 21 matches
Brighton Brighton 21 matches
Manchester United Statistic Brighton
8 Wins 7
8 Draws 8
5 Losses 6
36 Goals For 31
32 Goals Against 28
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
16 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
5.67 Shots On Goal 4.43
16.71 Total Shots 13.19
4.76 Corners 4.67
54% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 7 times, Brighton won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:22 from Manchester United's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Manchester United 4-2-3-1 / Brighton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manchester United wins 7, draws 1, Brighton wins 7