ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE

27.04.2026 19:00

Manchester United

2 - 1

Brentford

Old Trafford

Referee: C. Kavanagh

Manchester United

Match Timeline

Brentford

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Manchester United vs Brentford Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 58.5%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 88.9%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 83.3%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	58.5%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	88.9%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	83.3%	-	▥
HT / FT	1-1	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-0	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Manchester United Win 58.5%

Draw 0%

Brentford Win 41.5%

Expected Goals (xG)

Manchester United1.56

Brentford1.43

Recent Form (Last 5)

Manchester United

WWDLW

59 GF / 47 GA

Brentford

WLDWL

53 GF / 46 GA

Key Stats

1.74

Average Goals Scored

1.47

1.38

Average Goals Conceded

1.28

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.76

Shots on Goal

4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester United 34 matches

Brentford 36 matches

Manchester United	Statistic	Brentford
16	Wins	15
10	Draws	10
8	Losses	11
59	Goals For	53
47	Goals Against	46
1.74	Avg Goals Scored	1.47
1.38	Avg Goals Conceded	1.28
25	BTTS Yes	18
29	Over 1.5	28
21	Over 2.5	17
12	Over 3.5	14
6	Clean Sheets	11
3	Failed To Score	11
5.76	Shots On Goal	4.11
15.74	Total Shots	11.19
4.71	Corners	5
53%	Ball Possession	48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 6 times, Brentford won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from Manchester United's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (100%)

Predicted formations: Manchester United 4-2-3-1 / Brentford 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Manchester United 4, Brentford 7

H2H summary: Manchester United wins 6, draws 2, Brentford wins 3

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Arsenal	38	26	7	5	71:27	44	85	W W W W W
2	Manchester City	38	23	9	6	77:35	42	78	L D W W D
3	Manchester United Home	38	20	11	7	69:50	19	71	W W D W W
4	Aston Villa	38	19	8	11	56:49	7	65	W W D L L
5	Liverpool	38	17	9	12	63:53	10	60	D L D L W
6	Bournemouth	38	13	18	7	58:54	4	57	D D W W D
7	Sunderland	38	14	12	12	42:48	-6	54	W W D D L
8	Brighton	38	14	11	13	52:46	6	53	L L W L W
9	Brentford Away	38	14	11	13	55:52	3	53	D D L W L
10	Chelsea	38	14	10	14	58:52	6	52	L W D L L
11	Fulham	38	15	7	16	47:51	-4	52	W D L L W
12	Newcastle	38	14	7	17	53:55	-2	49	L W D W L
13	Everton	38	13	10	15	47:50	-3	49	L L D D L
14	Leeds	38	11	14	13	49:56	-7	47	L W D W D
15	Crystal Palace	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45	L D L D L
16	Nottingham Forest	38	11	11	16	48:51	-3	44	D L D W W
17	Tottenham	38	10	11	17	48:57	-9	41	W L D W W
18	West Ham	38	10	9	19	46:65	-19	39	W L L L W
19	Burnley	38	4	10	24	38:75	-37	22	D L D L L
20	Wolves	38	3	11	24	27:68	-41	20	D D L D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Championship