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ENGLAND › FA CUP
25.04.2026 16:15
Manchester City
FT
2 - 1
Southampton
Wembley Stadium
Referee: C. Pawson
Manchester City
Match Timeline
Southampton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
58'
M. Kovacic ↔ J. Doku
Manchester City
🔄
58'
P. Foden ↔ Savinho
Manchester City
🔄
61'
R. Stewart ↔ C. Larin
Southampton
🔄
61'
C. Bragg ↔ S. Charles
Southampton
🔄
71'
R. Ait-Nouri ↔ N. O'Reilly
Manchester City
🔄
71'
O. Marmoush ↔ E. Haaland
Manchester City
🔄
76'
Welington ↔ K. Matsuki
Southampton
⚽
79'
F. Azaz · Assist: K. Matsuki
Southampton
⚽
82'
J. Doku · Assist: T. Reijnders
Manchester City
🔄
85'
T. Reijnders ↔ B. Silva
Manchester City
⚽
87'
Nico · Assist: J. Doku
Manchester City
🔄
89'
J. Bree ↔ C. Archer
Southampton
🔄
89'
T. Fellows ↔ S. Edozie
Southampton
🟨
90+3'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Southampton

Manchester City vs Southampton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 47.4%
Draw 6.9%
Southampton Win 45.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City1.77
Southampton1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
WWDLW
101 GF / 45 GA
Southampton Southampton
WLDWL
85 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
1.77
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
23
BTTS Yes
34
29
Over 2.5
30
5.87
Shots on Goal
5.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 47 matches
Southampton Southampton 48 matches
Manchester City Statistic Southampton
30 Wins 25
8 Draws 13
9 Losses 10
101 Goals For 85
45 Goals Against 57
2.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
23 BTTS Yes 34
42 Over 1.5 41
29 Over 2.5 30
13 Over 3.5 15
19 Clean Sheets 12
6 Failed To Score 5
5.87 Shots On Goal 5.27
15.57 Total Shots 13.92
6.19 Corners 5.69
60.3% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 10 times, Southampton won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:12 from Manchester City's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-3-2-1 / Southampton 5-4-1
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 10, draws 3, Southampton wins 2