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ENGLAND › FA CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Manchester City
FT
2 - 1
Southampton
Wembley Stadium
Referee: C. Pawson
Manchester City
Match Timeline
Southampton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
58'
M. Kovacic ↔ J. Doku
Manchester City
🔄
58'
P. Foden ↔ Savinho
Manchester City
🔄
61'
R. Stewart ↔ C. Larin
Southampton
🔄
61'
C. Bragg ↔ S. Charles
Southampton
🔄
71'
R. Ait-Nouri ↔ N. O'Reilly
Manchester City
🔄
71'
O. Marmoush ↔ E. Haaland
Manchester City
🔄
76'
Welington ↔ K. Matsuki
Southampton
⚽
79'
F. Azaz · Assist: K. Matsuki
Southampton
⚽
82'
J. Doku · Assist: T. Reijnders
Manchester City
🔄
85'
T. Reijnders ↔ B. Silva
Manchester City
⚽
87'
Nico · Assist: J. Doku
Manchester City
🔄
89'
J. Bree ↔ C. Archer
Southampton
🔄
89'
T. Fellows ↔ S. Edozie
Southampton
🟨
90+3'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Southampton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 47.4%
Draw 6.9%
Southampton Win 45.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City1.77
Southampton1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
WWDLW
101 GF / 45 GA
Southampton Southampton
WLDWL
85 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
1.77
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
23
BTTS Yes
34
29
Over 2.5
30
5.87
Shots on Goal
5.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 47 matches
Southampton Southampton 48 matches
Manchester City Statistic Southampton
30 Wins 25
8 Draws 13
9 Losses 10
101 Goals For 85
45 Goals Against 57
2.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
23 BTTS Yes 34
42 Over 1.5 41
29 Over 2.5 30
13 Over 3.5 15
19 Clean Sheets 12
6 Failed To Score 5
5.87 Shots On Goal 5.27
15.57 Total Shots 13.92
6.19 Corners 5.69
60.3% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 10 times, Southampton won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:12 from Manchester City's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-3-2-1 / Southampton 5-4-1
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 10, draws 3, Southampton wins 2
Stats
Manchester City Manchester City
Southampton Southampton
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
11
Blocked Shots
1
10 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 3
69% Ball Possession 31%
26 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots off Goal 0
11 Blocked Shots 1
18 Shots insidebox 1
8 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
619 Total passes 271
557 Passes accurate 201
2.27 expected_goals 0.30
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Manchester City
Formation
Southampton
J. Trafford
J. Trafford
M. Nunes
M. Nunes
J. Stones
J. Stones
N. Ake
N. Ake
R. Ait-Nouri
↓
R. Ait-Nouri
T. Reijnders
🎯 ↓
T. Reijnders
Nico
⚽
Nico
M. Kovacic
↓
M. Kovacic
R. Cherki
R. Cherki
P. Foden
↓
P. Foden
O. Marmoush
↓
O. Marmoush
D. Peretz
D. Peretz
T. Fellows
↓
T. Fellows
J. Bree
↓
J. Bree
T. Harwood-Bellis
T. Harwood-Bellis
N. Wood
N. Wood
Welington
↓
Welington
F. Azaz
⚽
F. Azaz
C. Bragg
↓
C. Bragg
C. Jander
C. Jander
L. Scienza
L. Scienza
R. Stewart
↓
R. Stewart
Manchester City 4-3-2-1
Starting XI
1
J. Trafford
G
27
M. Nunes
D
5
J. Stones
D
6
N. Ake
D
21
R. Ait-Nouri
↓ 71'
D
4
T. Reijnders
🎯 82' ↓ 85'
M
14
Nico
⚽ 87'
M
8
M. Kovacic
↓ 58'
M
10
R. Cherki
M
47
P. Foden
↓ 58'
M
7
O. Marmoush
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
25
G. Donnarumma
G
11
J. Doku
⚽ 82' 🎯 87' ↑ 58'
F
82
R. Lewis
D
33
N. O'Reilly
↑ 71'
M
20
B. Silva
↑ 85'
M
9
E. Haaland
↑ 71'
F
15
M. Guehi
D
26
Savinho
↑ 58'
F
45
A. Khusanov
D
Southampton 5-4-1
Starting XI
41
D. Peretz
G
18
T. Fellows
↓ 89'
D
14
J. Bree
↓ 89'
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
🟨 90+3'
D
15
N. Wood
D
34
Welington
↓ 76'
D
10
F. Azaz
⚽ 79'
M
48
C. Bragg
↓ 61'
M
20
C. Jander
M
13
L. Scienza
M
11
R. Stewart
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
25
G. Long
G
9
C. Larin
↑ 61'
F
24
S. Charles
↑ 61'
M
38
E. Jelert
D
46
J. Robinson
F
19
C. Archer
↑ 89'
F
23
S. Edozie
↑ 89'
M
27
K. Matsuki
🎯 79' ↑ 76'
M
17
J. Quarshie
D
Last matches: Manchester City
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Bournemouth
1
1
D
16.05.26
FA
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Everton
3
3
D
22.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Burnley
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
3
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
1
1
D
11.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
0
3
L
07.03.26
FA
Manchester City
Newcastle
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Leeds
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Newcastle
2
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Manchester City
Salford City
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Fulham
3
0
W
08.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Liverpool
2
1
W
Last matches: Southampton
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Southampton
Leicester
2
1
W
10.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
4
3
W
H2H: Manchester City vs Southampton
25.04.26
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
10.05.25
H2H
Southampton
Manchester City
0
0
D
26.10.24
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
1
0
W
08.04.23
H2H
Southampton
Manchester City
1
4
W
11.01.23
H2H
Southampton
Manchester City
2
0
L
08.10.22
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
4
0
W
20.03.22
H2H
Southampton
Manchester City
1
4
W
22.01.22
H2H
Southampton
Manchester City
1
1
D
18.09.21
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
0
0
D
10.03.21
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
5
2
W
19.12.20
H2H
Southampton
Manchester City
0
1
W
05.07.20
H2H
Southampton
Manchester City
1
0
L
02.11.19
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
29.10.19
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
3
1
W
30.12.18
H2H
Southampton
Manchester City
1
3
W
Last matches: Manchester City
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Newcastle
2
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Manchester City
Salford City
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Fulham
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Manchester City
Galatasaray
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Wolves
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Manchester City
Exeter City
10
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brighton
1
1
D
04.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
3
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
Sunderland
3
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Manchester City
Leeds
3
2
W
25.11.25
UEF
Manchester City
Bayer Leverkusen
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
Manchester City
Liverpool
3
0
W
H2H at home: Manchester City
25.04.26
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
26.10.24
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
1
0
W
08.10.22
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
4
0
W
18.09.21
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
0
0
D
10.03.21
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
5
2
W
02.11.19
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
29.10.19
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
3
1
W
Last matches: Southampton
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
10.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
4
3
W
31.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Stoke City
2
0
W
25.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Southampton
Doncaster
3
2
W
04.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
29.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
1
1
D
26.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
1
2
L
13.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
2
L
29.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Millwall
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
5
1
W
05.11.25
Cha
Southampton
QPR
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
1
2
L
H2H away: Southampton
25.04.26
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
L
26.10.24
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
1
0
L
08.10.22
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
4
0
L
18.09.21
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
0
0
D
10.03.21
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
5
2
L
02.11.19
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
L
29.10.19
H2H
Manchester City
Southampton
3
1
L