Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Chelsea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City2.17
Chelsea1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City
WWDLW
16 GF / 5 GA
Chelsea
WLDWL
24 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
2.67
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
8
7.25
Shots on Goal
5.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester City
7 matches
Chelsea
9 matches
| Manchester City | Statistic | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 0 | Losses | 3 |
| 16 | Goals For | 24 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 2.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 7.25 | Shots On Goal | 5.67 |
| 16.5 | Total Shots | 16 |
| 5.75 | Corners | 3.67 |
| 70% | Ball Possession | 36.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 12 times, Chelsea won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:9 from Manchester City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-2-3-1 / Chelsea 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 12, draws 3, Chelsea wins 0
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
Home
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Chelsea
Away
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 4 |
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship