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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
12.12.2026 15:00
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Chelsea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City2.29
Chelsea1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
L W W L W
14 GF / 9 GA
Chelsea Chelsea
L W W L D
9 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.57
Average Goals Scored
2.36
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
10
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
11
6.36
Shots on Goal
5.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 14 matches
Chelsea Chelsea 14 matches
Manchester City Statistic Chelsea
11 Wins 7
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 5
36 Goals For 33
17 Goals Against 26
2.57 Avg Goals Scored 2.36
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
10 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 3
6.36 Shots On Goal 5.38
16.45 Total Shots 13.38
6.36 Corners 5.63
63.4% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 12 times, Chelsea won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:9 from Manchester City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-2-3-1 / Chelsea 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 12, draws 3, Chelsea wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 20:9 11 21
L W W W W
2 7 6 0 1 11:5 6 18
W W L W W
3 7 5 1 1 23:5 18 16
W W W W D
4 7 4 1 2 17:13 4 13
W W L D L
5 7 3 3 1 9:8 1 12
W L W D W
6 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D W L
7 7 2 4 1 13:8 5 10
L D W D D
8 7 2 4 1 9:6 3 10
D L D W D
9 7 2 4 1 8:7 1 10
L D W D D
10 8 3 1 4 12:16 -4 10
D L W L W
11 7 2 3 2 8:7 1 9
L D L D D
12 7 2 2 3 10:14 -4 8
L L W L D
13 7 1 4 2 10:10 0 7
D D D L D
14 7 2 1 4 9:17 -8 7
L W D L W
15 7 1 3 3 9:13 -4 6
W L L D D
16 7 1 3 3 6:10 -4 6
W D L D D
17 8 1 3 4 6:10 -4 6
D L L L W
18 7 2 0 5 6:14 -8 6
L W W L L
19 7 1 2 4 7:10 -3 5
W L D D L
20 7 1 1 5 6:14 -8 4
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship