ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
04.01.2026 17:30
Etihad Stadium
Referee: M. Oliver
Manchester City
Match Timeline
Chelsea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
42'
T. Reijnders
Manchester City
🔄
46'
Estêvão ↔ Andrey Santos
Chelsea
🔄
51'
J. Gvardiol ↔ A. Khusanov
Manchester City
🟨
52'
Reece James
Chelsea
🟨
54'
Rúben Dias
Manchester City
🔄
62'
Joao Pedro ↔ L. Delap
Chelsea
🔄
62'
J. Acheampong ↔ J. Hato
Chelsea
🔄
70'
T. Reijnders ↔ J. Doku
Manchester City
🟨
79'
Matheus Nunes
Manchester City
🟨
79'
Liam Delap
Chelsea
🔄
81'
R. Dias ↔ N. Ake
Manchester City
🟨
90+3'
Bernardo Silva
Manchester City
🟨
90+5'
Enzo Fernández
Chelsea
⚽
90'
E. Fernandez
Chelsea

Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Chelsea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City1.78
Chelsea1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
WWDLW
55 GF / 23 GA
Chelsea Chelsea
WLDWL
45 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
1.8
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
11
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
17
5.96
Shots on Goal
4.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 25 matches
Chelsea Chelsea 25 matches
Manchester City Statistic Chelsea
17 Wins 11
3 Draws 7
5 Losses 7
55 Goals For 45
23 Goals Against 29
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
11 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 9
11 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 2
5.96 Shots On Goal 4.92
14.8 Total Shots 14
5.44 Corners 5.76
59.2% Ball Possession 58.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 12 times, Chelsea won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:9 from Manchester City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-1-4-1 / Chelsea 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 12, draws 3, Chelsea wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship